Penn State vs Iowa 2019 College Football Week 7 Spread & Analysis.

Penn State vs Iowa 2019 College Football Week 7 Spread & Analysis

Written by on October 9, 2019

It’s a potential Big Ten Championship Game preview on Saturday from Iowa City as the No. 17 Hawkeyes welcome No. 10 Penn State. The Nittany Lions are road favorites on the Mybookie NCAAF odds.

How to Bet Penn State vs Iowa College Football Week 7 Spread & Game Info

Last Meeting

Penn State beat Iowa in State College last year 30-24. Nittany Lions safety Nick Scott intercepted a pass at the 2 with 3:18 left in the fourth quarter to thwart one Hawkeyes drive and Penn State needed one more stop after that. Iowa drove to the Nittany Lions 44 in the final minute. On fourth-and-10 with 7 seconds remaining, Penn State’s pass rush swarmed Nate Stanley, who flipped backward to offensive tackle Tristan Wirfs. The 300-pounder rumbled 15 yards before being dragged down with no time left.

The last two Penn State-Iowa games have been decided by eight combined points, highlighted by a “walk-off” touchdown win for Penn State the last time the teams met in Iowa City in 2017.

Why Bet on Penn State?

The Nittany Lions were 35-7 winners over Purdue last week. In the game’s first 16 minutes, Penn State (5-0, 2-0 Big Ten) built a 28-0 lead as quarterback Sean Clifford was responsible for four touchdowns, rushing for one and throwing three, while the defense held Purdue to just 1 yard. For the game, the Nittany Lions held the Boilers to 104 total yards and minus-19 rushing yards – the fewest rushing yards allowed by Penn State since 1978 and fifth-fewest since 1947. Dating back to last year, Penn State has held its last seven regular-season opponents to 13 points or less.

Clifford completed 11-of-14 pass attempts for 205 yards three touchdowns and an interception in the first half and finished 20-for-29 with 264 passing yards. Penn State’s 94 points in consecutive Big Ten games is the highest two-game point total in consecutive Big Ten games since the Nittany Lions scored 129 in the last conference game of 2017 at Maryland and the 2018 Big Ten opener at Illinois (66 at Maryland and 63 at Illinois).

The Nittany Lions once again held its opponent scoreless in the first quarter and are now the only team in the country to not allow any first quarter points this season, as both Oklahoma and Missouri gave up opening stanza scores today.

Penn State has 25 sacks through five games to average a nation-leading 5.0 sacks per game. Penn State’s pass rush is led by Yetur Gross-Matos (5.5 total, 1.10 spg) and Shaka Toney (5.0 total, 1.00 spg), who rank 11th and 12th, respectively in FBS. The Nittany Lions also lead the country with 10.4 tackles for loss per game.

Team Stats

  • Points per Game: 50.00
  • Passing Yards: 316.00
  • Rushing Yards: 193.50
  • Yards per Play: 7.52
  • Points per Game: 7.50
  • Passing Yards: 206.50
  • Rushing Yards: 68.00
  • Yards per Play: 3.95

Why Bet on Iowa?

Penn State (7.4 ppg) and Iowa (8.8 ppg) rank second and third, respectively, in FBS in scoring defense this season, trailing only Wisconsin (5.8 ppg). Penn State has not allowed more than 13 points in a game this season, while Iowa has not allowed more than 17. The Hawkeyes have allowed just 61 first downs, third fewest in the country and second in the Big Ten.

Last week, Iowa limited No. 16 Michigan to 10 points and 267 yards of offense, but only managed a field goal in its first loss of the season. The Hawkeyes had six trips make it inside the Michigan 36-yard line and only managed points on one. They went 6-for-17 on third down, giving up 8 sacks and amassing a season-high 8 penalties.

The Wolverines sacked Iowa quarterback Nate Stanley eight times for a loss of 65 yards, leaving the Hawkeyes with just one rushing yard. Iowa only attempted to actually run the ball at Michigan 22 times while they passed 42. That’s wildly unbalanced for a team that prides itself on establishing the run and utilizing a balanced attack.

Penn State vs Iowa is going to be a good one.

The Hawkeyes allowed their first rushing touchdown of the season last week at Michigan. It was the only touchdown of the game. Iowa and Penn State are two of six schools in the country to allow one rushing touchdown or fewer. Georgia is the only team to allow zero rushing touchdowns.

Some Numbers

Stanley ranks 15th in FBS among active career leaders in passing yards with 6,576. Stanley has started the last 31 games at quarterback (21-10), and the Hawkeyes have averaged 29.5 points per game in those starts. That average ranks fifth in school history, and 10th nationally among active quarterbacks. Stanley is 13-4 at Kinnick Stadium, 10-10 in all Big Ten games, and 6-4 in conference games at Kinnick Stadium.

Iowa is one of four teams (joining Penn State, Ohio State and Wisconsin) to rank in the top four of the Big Ten in both total offense and defense. Iowa is hosting Penn State under the lights for the fourth me (1-2), more than any other school. The Hawkeyes are 13-6 all-time in games played under the lights at Kinnick.

Team Stats

  • Points per Game: 33.50
  • Passing Yards: 247.50
  • Rushing Yards: 217.50
  • Yards per Play: 6.28
  • Points per Game: 8.50
  • Passing Yards: 172.50
  • Rushing Yards: 78.50
  • Yards per Play: 4.87

Penn State vs Iowa College Football Week 7 Betting Trends

  • Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings
  • Nittany Lions are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games played in October
  • Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in week 7
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Penn State’s last 10 games
  • Hawkeyes are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games this season
  • Hawkeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Big 10 conference
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Iowa’s last 7 games played in week 7

Expert Final Score Prediction for Penn State vs Iowa

Penn State 20 – Iowa 23


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