Michael Collins and the TCU Horned Frogs will look to pull off the huge upset over Will Grier and the Ninth-ranked West Virginia Mountaineers when the two rivals square off in their Week 11 Big-12 battle on Saturday. Can TCU record back-to-back wins after snapping a losing streak last weekend or will West Virginia hold it down while taking another step toward strengthening their College Football Playoff hopes?
If you’re looking to find out which team is offering the best betting value in this matchup, then let’s get to my expert college football pick in the MyBookie NCAAF sportsbook right now.
TCU at West Virginia NCAA Football Week 11 Betting Analysis
- When: Saturday, November 10, 2018, 12:00 PM ET
- Where: Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
- TV: FS-1
- Radio: TuneIn
- Live Stream: Fox Sports Go
- NCAA Football Week 11 Betting Odds: West Virginia -11.5 (Total 55.5)
- Partly Cloudy: 1°C/33°F
- Humidity: 43%
- Precipitation: 15%
- Cloud Cover: 30%
- Wind: 14 mph W
- Stadium Type: Open
Why Bet On Texas Christian?Why should you bet on West Virginia? There are a couple good reasons….if you look really hard. First, TCU is completely and utterly desperate to record one or two more victories to secure a bowl game bid. Next, the Horned Frogs have a pretty good defense that limits the opposition to a solid 23.7 points per game to rank 43rd nationally in points allowed.
TCU got past Kansas State 14-13 last weekend as Michael Collins completed 17-33 passes for 218 yards and one touchdown in a tight affair while running back Darius Anderson rushed for 48 yards and one score on 13 carries. Wide receiver Jalen Reagor caught three passes for 92 yards and one score in the win.
Why Bet On West Virginia?Why should you bet on the ninth the-ranked Mountaineers? Well, because they’re better than TCU in all three phases. West Virginia has the far more potent offense with the Mountaineers averaging an impressive 40.1 points per game to rank 12th nationally in scoring. West Virginia also limits the opposition to 22.2 points per game to rank an encouraging 35th nationally in points allowed. Last but not least, West Virginia has a future NFL performer in quarterback Will Grier and some legitimate College Football Playoff hopes.
The Mountaineers come into this contest off a thrilling 42-41 win over Texas last weekend as Grier ran in a two-point conversion with seconds remaining to lift the Mountaineers to victory. Grier passed for 346 yards with three touchdowns and no picks while running back Martell Pettaway rushed for 121 yards and two scores on nine carries.
Latest TCU at West Virginia NCAA Football Week 11 Betting Trends
- Texas Christian is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
- Texas Christian is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Christian’s last 6 games
- West Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas Christian
- West Virginia is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia’s last 7 games at home
Expert Analysis and PredictionMaybe it’s me, but I’m wondering why West Virginia isn’t an even bigger favorite than they are. The Horned Frogs got blown out of the water in their Week 8 matchup against nationally-ranked Oklahoma (52-27) and they also got spanked by nationally-ranked Texas (31-16) and Ohio State (40-28).
Prior to last weekend, TCU had lost three straight and five of six, not to mention the Horned Frogs are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Mountaineers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and I just see them dominating in this huge home matchup. West Virginia wins and covers the double-digit spread.
Score: West Virginia 49 – TCU 24