Astros vs Nationals World Series Game 4 Odds, Preview & Expert Pick

Astros vs Nationals 2019 World Series Game 4 Odds, Preview & Expert Pick

Written by on October 26, 2019

The Houston Astros cut the Washington Nationals’ World Series lead in half with a stirring 4-1 Game 3 victory. Can the Astros even the series on Saturday night? Or, will the Nationals take a step closer to their first World Series victory with a Game 4 win? Keep reading for World Series odds, a preview, and a free pick for Astros-Nationals Game 4!

Astros vs Nationals 2019 World Series Game 4 Odds, Preview & Pick

Why the Houston Astros are a good bet at -110?

Although the Washington Nationals ran Zack Greinke off the mound in Game 3 after 4 ¾ innings, the Houston Astros managed to win the game and cut the Washington Nationals’ World Series lead in half.

How did the Astros take Game 3? Manager A.J. Hinch went to his excellent bullpen early. That was the key move that Hinch made in the first matchup in Washington. While in Houston, Hinch relied too heavily on his superstar starters, Gerrit Cole and Justin Verlander. If Hinch manages his pitchers effectively in Game 4, Houston could even the series.

Team Statistics

  • Runs/G: 5.68
  • BA: .274
  • OPS: .848
  • HR: 288
  • SB: 67
  • ERA: 3.68
  • WHIP: 1.13
  • KS: 1671
  • Quality Starts: 88
  • Errors: 70

Why the Washington Nationals are a good bet at -110?

The Nationals ran into a motivated Astros squad in Game 3, but they should have a slight advantage in Game 4. While A.J. Hinch will start an often bullpen player, Jose Urquidy, Nationals manger David Martinez sends a full-fledged starter to the mound in Patrick Corbin.

Corbin went 14-7 with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP during the regular season. He can carry the Nationals into the sixth, maybe even seventh, inning. That could be the difference in this matchup on Saturday.

Team Statistics

  • Runs/G: 5.39
  • BA: .265
  • OPS: .796
  • HR: 231
  • SB: 116
  • ERA: 4.27
  • WHIP: 1.29
  • KS: 1511
  • Quality Starts: 87
  • Errors: 87

2019 World Series Game 4 Betting Trends for Astros vs Nationals

  • Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games versus a left-handed starter
  • Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series
  • Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games with Hoye behind home plate
  • Nationals are 5-1 in Corbin’s last 6 starts
  • Nationals are 14-3 in Corbin’s last 17 home starts
  • Nationals are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague games

World Series Game 4 Astros vs Nationals Betting Analysis

Although Washington still has an edge in the 2019 World Series, there was a different feeling in Friday night’s Game 3. The Nationals didn’t have the spark that they usually display while the Astros seemed more than comfortable playing as the underdog.

In fact, Houston’s entire squad appeared more focused. Jose Altuve turned into a beast, George Springer showed more hustle, and A.J. Hinch’s managerial moves were second to none. These were the Houston Astros that so many expected to show up in Game 1 and Game 2.

Can Houston even the series by starting an often reliever in Jose Urquidy? They can. Urquidy started 7 games during the regular season. He can give Hinch exactly what Greinke gave him in Game 3, 4 to 5 innings.

Not only that, but Patrick Corbin bombed in his last start this postseason, giving up 4 runs in 4 hits to the St. Louis Cardinals in 5 innings. The Astros even the series by winning Game 4.

MLB Free Pick: Houston Astros -110