Colorado vs. Arizona NL Wild Card MLB Odds & Betting Pick

Colorado vs. Arizona NL Wild Card Odds & Betting Pick

Written by on October 3, 2017

The 162-game MLB season is a grind that only 10 teams are able to survive. That number will very quickly drop to 8 once the Wild Card games are played ahead of the Divisional Series. The Yankees and Twins will go on Tuesday night, followed by the Rockies and Diamondbacks, the game we will focus on here, on Wednesday night. As the NL Wild Card Odds dictate, the Rockies/Diamondbacks match-up is one that is particularly interesting, as these two know each other a little better than most. With the Dodgers already into the Divisional Round, the NL West has no less than 3 teams represented in the playoffs. While there are some who view the Wild Card game as a bit of a consolation prize, you can bet that the teams taking part are not looking at it that way. This is one last chance to make it into the postseason proper, and winning home-field advantage for this one-off game is absolutely huge. Arizona finished the season strong, which is why the Diamondbacks are in as 1 ½ run favorites for this game. The run total for this one has been set at 8 ½.

Colorado vs. Arizona NL Wild Card MLB Odds & Betting Pick

  • When: Wednesday, October 4 at 8:08 PM EST
  • Where: Chase Field, Phoenix
  • Starting Pitchers: Jon Gray Vs Zack Greinke
  • TV: TBS
  • Radio: 106.1 FM (Colorado) / 99.9 FM (Arizona)
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • NL Wild Card Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (Over/Under at 8.5)

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 31°C/88°F
  • Humidity: 20%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 0%
  • Wind: 5 mph WNW
  • Stadium Type: Retractable

Updated MLB 2017 World Series Odds – October 3rd

Recent Head to Head (Last 10 Games)

  • Runs: Colorado Rockies 3 / Arizona Diamondbacks 5.40
  • Hits: Colorado Rockies 6.70 / Arizona Diamondbacks 9.20
  • Walks: Colorado Rockies 3.30 / Arizona Diamondbacks 3.50
  • Strikeouts: Colorado Rockies 9.40 / Arizona Diamondbacks 8.40
  • Over/Under: Colorado Rockies 2-6-2 / Arizona Diamondbacks 2-6-2

Why Consider the Rockies NL Wild Card Odds?

The Colorado Rockies finished the season with an 87-75 record and had to wait until the final weekend of the season to book their ticket into the Wild Card game. What may have been lost in the Rockies run to the postseason is that they were the top scoring team in the National League this season with 824 runs scored, which was also enough to vault them into the top 3 in the MLB. The problem they face was that outside of Jon Gray (10-4, 3.67 ERA), they really didn’t have as strong a starting rotation as most of the other teams that made it into the playoffs. Relying on Gray to take them past the Wild Card game is not an awful position to be in, so it’s certainly not all doom and gloom for the Rockies. Colorado managed, by the skin of their teeth, to put together a winning road record this season at 41-40. That said, they are 2-4 in their last 6 games in Arizona, and are also just 2-7 SU in their last 9 meetings with the D-Backs overall.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Runs: 5.09
  • Hits: 9.32
  • Walks: 3.20
  • Strike Outs: 8.69
Defense
  • Runs: 4.67
  • Hits: 8.96
  • Walks: 3.28
  • Strike Outs: 7.84

Why Consider the Diamondbacks NL Wild Card Odds?

The Arizona Diamondbacks finished the season with 93 wins, and could probably have had a few more if they had not stepped off the gas a little coming down the stretch. They were in the odd position of having the Dodgers out of reach atop the division, whilst also being comfortably rooted in the top Wild Card spot. It was no real surprise then that they didn’t quite finish the season with the same level of intensity that they had delivered for a large portion of the second half of the season. According to the Wild Card Odds the Diamondbacks are favorites to beat the Rockies The Diamondbacks are another team that can score runs, racking up 812 on the season. They were much better defensively than the Rockies and finished the year with a very impressive +153 run differential. The Diamondbacks will turn the ball over to Zack Greinke (17-7, 3.20 ERA) for this one, which is good news, as he has had a big bounce-back season this year. The D-backs were an impressive 52-29 at home this season and went 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Colorado.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Runs: 5.01
  • Hits: 8.67
  • Walks: 3.57
  • Strike Outs: 8.99
Defense
  • Runs: 4.07
  • Hits: 8.09
  • Walks: 3.19
  • Strike Outs: 9.15

Updated NL Wild Card Odds Trends

  • Rockies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on the road
  • Rockies are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Colorado’s last 13 games
  • Diamondbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing Colorado
  • Diamondbacks are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing Colorado
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 6 games when playing Colorado

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

It’s going to be the end of the road for one of these teams on Wednesday night, and my money is on the Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Wild Card Odds to be the team that moves on. I think Greinke gets the edge over Gray, but I also think the run total may sneak just OVER. Score: Colorado Rockies 3 – Arizona Diamondbacks 6