Elite Eight Odds: Creighton vs. San Diego State Betting Analysis & Prediction

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Two surprise teams will battle it out in the Elite Eight South Region for the chance to head to NRG Stadium in Houston for next weekend’s Final Four. The Creighton Bluejays beat Princeton by 11 points and the San Diego State Aztecs knocked off 1-seed Alabama on Friday night. The pair of Cinderellas hope to keep the glass slipper intact when they throw down on Sunday.

We will now preview the game plus our betting prediction for this Elite Eight contest. Keep reading for college basketball betting lines, analysis, and a free pick for San Diego State vs. Creighton.

2023 March Madness Elite Eight Game
No. 6 Creighton Bluejays vs. No. 5 San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

Creighton of Big East meets San Diego State of Mountain West in NCAA Tourney Elite Eight
ATS Odds: Creighton -1.5
Moneyline Odds: Creighton -126 / San Diego State +104
Over/Under Odds: 133.5 -110
When: Sunday, March 26 at 2:20 pm ET
Where: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY
TV / Streaming: TNT/Paramount+

Why Bet on No. 6 Creighton versus No. 5 San Diego State?

Creighton didn’t just beat Princeton. In this tournament, the Bluejays have also beaten NC State 72-63 and then as a slight underdog, blasted Baylor 85-76.

The Bluejays’ offense is on fire. On average, Baylor’s offense allows 70 points per game. Princeton hadn’t allowed more than 65 in three straight wins over Yale, Arizona, and Missouri.

Creighton Bluejays Offensive Averages

Points/G: 76.8
FG %: 46.9
3PT%: 35.8
FT %: 76.0
Rebounds/G: 35.0

Creighton Bluejays Defensive Averages

Points/G: 67.9
FG %: 42.0
3PT%: 33.5
FT %: 72.6
Rebounds/G: 30.7

Why Bet on No. 5 San Diego State versus No. 6 Creighton?

Creighton has made the Elite Eight by beating teams with an electrifying offense. San Diego State has gotten to this point because of an exceptional defense and experience.

Top scorer Max Bradley is a 6’4” and 220 pounds senior. Nathan Mensah is a 6’ 10” 230 pounds senior. Lamont Butler is a junior.

Mensah leads the team in bords and Butler leads the team in assists. Forward Jaedon Ledee is a 6’ 9” and 240 pounds senior. SDSU’s upperclassmen have dominated younger teams, including beating overall 1-seed Alabama.

San Diego State Aztecs Offensive Averages

Points/G: 72.9
FG %: 45.2
3PT%: 36.3
FT %: 73.1
Rebounds/G: 32.4

San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Averages

Points/G: 64.4
FG %: 42.1
3PT%: 29.8
FT %: 74.3
Rebounds/G: 27.4

San Diego State vs. Creighton Betting Trends

Bluejays are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall
Creighton is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games
Over is 6-2 in the Bluejays last 8 overall
Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
San Diego State is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games versus a team with a winning record
Under is 7-0 ATS in the Aztecs’ last 7 games following an ATS win

Creighton Bluejays vs. San Diego State Aztecs Betting Odds and Prediction

This game can go either way. Both the San Diego State Aztecs and the Creighton Blue Jays are loaded with fantastic players. The difference is in style, the Bluejays prefer to use their offense, and the Aztecs lean on a terrific defense.

But if SDSU could beat Alabama, why couldn’t they beat Creighton? The Big East Jays have scorers all over the field.

So did Bama and the Aztecs held the Crimson Tide to 64 points. If we study the teams that each squad has beaten, it’s tough to gauge which team has the edge. An NC State and a Baylor may not equate to an Alabama.

However, it isn’t difficult to know that SDSU’s experience will be a huge factor. As will be the Aztec’s lockdown defensive strategy, which could frustrate a team like Creighton into taking bad shots. San Diego State gets the straight up nod.

March Madness Elite Eight Pick: San Diego State +104 | Bet San Diego State vs. Creighton Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game