Super Bowl favorite Buffalo hosts Cleveland on Sunday hoping to end a losing streak. Since dominating their opponents pretty much since their first game, Buffalo has lost 2 straight. The Bills dropped a game versus the rival Jets in NFL Week 9. Then last Sunday, Buffalo allowed Minnesota to rally and then beat the Bills in overtime. Will Josh Allen and his mates step it up versus the Browns? Check out NFL Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Cleveland at Buffalo.
NFL Week 11 Betting Preview for Cleveland Browns at Buffalo
Browns vs Bills Odds and Match Info
- When: Sunday, Nov. 20 at 1:00 pm ET
- Where: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
- TV / Streaming: CBS / Paramount +
- ATS Odds: Buffalo -8
- Money line Odds: Cleveland +300 / Buffalo -380
- Over/Under Odds: 42
Why bet on Cleveland versus Buffalo?
Cleveland may have a single win in their last 3, but the Bills have gone 2-1 against the spread in those 3 games.
Cleveland covered as a +6.5 underdog versus the Baltimore Ravens in a 20-23 loss. In their next game, the Browns upset Cincinnati 32-13 as a 3-point home dog. Cleveland may not win on Sunday, but they’ve proven they can cover the spread no matter who they play.
Cleveland Browns Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 375.9
- Passing Yards: 217.1
- Rushing Yards: 158.8
- Points Scored: 24.1
- Turnovers: 13
Cleveland Browns Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 349.1
- Passing Yards: 218.0
- Rushing Yards: 131.1
- Points Scored: 26.4
- Takeaways: 8
Why bet on Buffalo versus Cleveland?
Buffalo is too good to play three straight mediocre games. Losing to the Jets and Vikings make some sense because those are a pair of quality clubs. Cleveland isn’t.
So the Bills should come out guns blazing. If Josh Allen is okay, and signs suggest he is, then Buffalo has a chance to score at will versus a Browns side that allows over 26 points per game.
For the first time in 3 weeks, Buffalo’s D faces a quarterback they should have no trouble containing. Jacoby Brissett is a great backup, but he won’t punish the Bills’ secondary the way Zach Wilson and Kirk Cousins did.
Buffalo Bills Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 424.1
- Passing Yards: 294.2
- Rushing Yards: 129.9
- Points Scored: 27.8
- Turnovers: 18
Buffalo Bills Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 319.8
- Passing Yards: 210.2
- Rushing Yards: 109.6
- Points Scored: 16.8
- Takeaways: 15
Browns at Bills Relevant Trends
- Browns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on field turf
- Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in week 11
- Over is 5-1-1 in the Browns’ last 7 versus the AFC
- Bills are 10-2-2 ATS versus a team with a losing record
- Buffalo is 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss
- Under is 6-1 in the Bills’ last 7 games
Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills Final Betting Prediction
Losing to the Jets made sense, but the Bills shouldn’t have relinquished a 14-point halftime lead against the Vikings. The fact Minnesota rallied to tie the game and then beat Buffalo in overtime is a sign the Bills have some work to do to win the Super Bowl.
With that being written, we shouldn’t read too much into Buffalo’s losing streak. The Jets are for real and Josh Allen played hurt in the game against the Vikings.
The Bills have listed Allen as questionable to start this week. Ah, but even if Allen isn’t one-hundred percent, he should play well enough to lead the Bills to a win and cover.
Cleveland allows over 131 rushing yards per game. So all Buffalo must do is lean on running back Devin Singletary and call Allen’s number in the rushing attack. The Bills win and cover.
NFL Week 11 Pick: Buffalo Bills -8
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