Buccaneers vs Falcons 2019 NFL Week 12 Lines & Betting Preview

Buccaneers vs Falcons 2019 NFL Week 12 Lines & Betting Preview

Written by on November 19, 2019

After beating Carolina in Week 11, the Atlanta Falcons look to make it 3 in a row when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday. Will the Falcons continue the win streak? Or, will Tampa end their losing streak with an upset victory? See below for NFL odds, a preview and a free pick for Buccaneers vs Falcons!

Buccaneers vs Falcons 2019 NFL Week 12 Lines & Betting Preview

  • When: Sunday, Nov. 24 at 1:00 pm ET
  • Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
  • TV: FOX
  • ATS Odds: Falcons -4
  • Over/Under Total Odds: 51 ½

Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a good bet +4?

Although the Buccaneers are a bad team, they have the same record, 3-7, that the Atlanta Falcons have. Also, a strong trend points to a Tampa cover. The Buccaneers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. If quarterback Jameis Winston protects the football, Tampa could pull off the moneyline upset as well as cover the spread.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 380.4
  • Passing Yards: 285.6
  • Rushing Yards: 94.8
  • Points Scored: 27.7
  • Total Yards: 371.8
  • Passing Yards: 290.9
  • Rushing Yards: 80.9
  • Points Allowed: 31.3

Why the Atlanta Falcons are a good bet -4?

Coming off their bye, many felt Atlanta would throw in the towel this season. Instead of giving up, the Falcons have soared. They dominated the Saints in New Orleans 26-9. They beat up the Carolina Panthers 29-3. The Falcons are one of the hottest teams in the NFL. Atlanta won’t allow Tampa to end the 2-game SU and ATS streak.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 374.8
  • Passing Yards: 300.3
  • Rushing Yards: 74.5
  • Points Scored: 22
  • Total Yards: 369.3
  • Passing Yards: 261.7
  • Rushing Yards: 107.6
  • Points Allowed: 26.2

NFL Week 12 Betting Trends for Buccaneers vs Falcons

  • Buccaneers are 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home
  • Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in the last 5 games following an ATS loss
  • The total went OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay’s last 8 games
  • Falcons are 2-9 ATS versus teams with a losing record
  • Atlanta is 2-10 ATS in the last 12 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games

Buccaneers vs Falcons Final NFL Betting Analysis

Atlanta upset Carolina because Panthers’ quarterback Kyle Allen threw 4 interceptions. Because of that, some might believe the Falcons’ victory over Carolina was a mirage. But, Atlanta beat New Orleans the week before.

Also, the Falcons face a quarterback in Week 12 who’s even more carless than Allen. Jameis Winston has thrown 18 interceptions. He’s having the worst season of his career and he’s played in the NFL since 2015. Winston won’t allow Tampa Bay to have success on Nov. 24. Back the Falcons to win and cover.

NFL Free Pick: Atlanta Falcons -4