The Cleveland Browns host the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday in an AFC matchup that favors the visiting team. The Bolts are -2.5 favorites versus the home town Browns. Will Cleveland get it done in their stadium? Or should NFL handicappers consider backing the Chargers to cover? Keep reading for NFL Lines, analysis, and a free pick for Chargers at Browns.
NFL Week 5 Betting Preview for Chargers versus Browns
Los Angeles Chargers vs Cleveland Browns Odds and Match Info
- When: Sunday, Oct. 9 at 1:00 pm ET
- Where: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
- TV / Streaming: CBS / Paramount
- ATS Odds: LAC -2.5
- Moneyline Odds: LAC -136 / Cleveland +112
- Over/Under Odds: 47.5
Why bet on LAC versus Cleveland?
The Chargers suffered a major blow in the 38-10 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars in week 3. Starting left tackle Rashawn Slater went down for the season. The Bolts had every reason to give up knowing their best offensive lineman wouldn’t put on the cleats until 2023. Instead of crying about the situation, the Chargers banded together and beat the Houston Texans 34-24 in NFL Week 4, proving LAC is a resilient bunch.
Los Angeles Chargers Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 371.8
- Passing Yards: 307.3
- Rushing Yards: 64.5
- Points Scored: 23.0
- Turnovers: 4
Los Angeles Chargers Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 349.5
- Passing Yards: 239.8
- Rushing Yards: 109.8
- Points Scored: 27.0
- Takeaways: 5
Why bet on Cleveland versus LAC?
The Browns average 184.3 rushing yards per game. Although the Chargers’ defense is good, it’s not good enough to stop the Browns from rushing all over the field. Cleveland will use the rushing attack to keep the ball out of Justin Herbert’s hands and controlling time of possession on their way to a home upset win.
Cleveland Browns Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 384.8
- Passing Yards: 197.5
- Rushing Yards: 187.3
- Points Scored: 26.3
- Turnovers: 3
Cleveland Browns Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 326.0
- Passing Yards: 212.8
- Rushing Yards: 113.3
- Points Scored: 23.8
- Takeaways: 4
Chargers at Browns Relevant Trends
- Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass
- LAC is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games in October
- Over is 8-2 in the Chargers’ last 10 games
- Browns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games at home
- Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 versus the NFC
- Under is 5-1 in the Browns’ last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in the previous game
Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns Final Betting Prediction
This is a game of contrasts. The Chargers are a pass first team. LAC leads the league in passing yards each game.
The Browns are a run first franchise. Cleveland ranks second in rushing yards per. Often in a game of contrasting offensive styles, the rushing team has the edge.
But in this one, it’s the Chargers who are the play. Every significant trend points to a Chargers cover. The Bolts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
The Browns are an awful 2-5 ATS in their last 7 at home. Not only that, but there’s a chance Myles Garrett won’t play in this game, which means Herbert will have more time than he should to throw the pigskin. The Bolts get the win and cover.
NFL Week 5 Pick: Los Angeles Chargers -2.5