Chiefs vs Broncos NFL Week 4 Spread & Betting Pick

Chiefs vs Broncos NFL Week 4 Spread & Betting Pick

Written by on September 25, 2018

While Patrick Mahomes has looked like the second coming of either Johnny Unitas, Dan Fouts or Dan Marino for the Kansas City Chiefs, new Denver Broncos quarterback Case Keenum looks to be reverting back to the mediocre veteran he was prior to his career year last season.

Kansas City has been virtually unstoppable since the start of the season while Denver kind of looks like the same team that has struggled mightily the last two seasons. Now, with the longtime AFC West division rivals set to square off in the first of their two annual regular season meetings, let’s find out who’s getting the win and ATS cover.

Chiefs vs Broncos NFL Week 4 Spread & Betting Pick

When: Monday, October 1 at 8:15 PM ETWhere: Broncos Stadium at Mile High, Denver, COTV: ESPNRadio: Kansas City / DenverLive Stream: NFL LiveNFL Week 4 Odds: Kansas City -4 / Total: 55

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 20°C/68°F
  • Humidity: 29%
  • Precipitation: 7%
  • Wind: 7 mph WNW
  • Cloud Cover: 32%
  • Type of Stadium:

Why Bet On The Kansas City Chiefs?

Why should you bet on the Kansas City Chiefs? Well duh, because they’ve got the most explosive offense in the league right now and a strong-armed quarterback that can make every throw there is. The Chiefs are ranked first in scoring by averaging a stupendous 39.3 points per game so far. Kansas City rolled put 35 points on the board in the first half to cruise to a relatively easy 38-27 win over San Francisco on Sunday as Patrick Mahomes passed for 314 yards with three TD passes and no interceptions. Running back Kareem Hunt added 44 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 18 carries while Sammy Watkins, Demetrius Harris and Chris Conley all added touchdown receptions in the victory.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 39.33
  • Total Yards: 398.33
  • Pass Yards: 295
  • Rush Yards: 103.33
  • Average Score Against: 30.67
  • Total Yards: 474
  • Pass Yards: 362.67
  • Rush Yards: 111.33

Why Bet On The Denver Broncos?

Are the Broncos a safe bet for NFL Week 4?Why should you bet on the Broncos in this week 3 matchup? Well, because they’re playing at home in always-difficult Mile High. In addition to that, despite their uneven play,  Denver has managed to win two of three so far. Unfortunately, they never showed up in their humbling 27-14 road loss at Baltimore on Sunday. Veteran quarterback quarterback Case Keenum was limited to just 192 passing yards with no touchdowns and one interception. The Broncos did get rushing scores from Royce Freeman and Emmanuel Sanders but Keenum was sacked three times in the loss and finished with an abysmal 29.3 quarterback rating.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 20.33
  • Total Yards:
  • Pass Yards: 238
  • Rush Yards: 144.67
  • Average Score Against: 23.33
  • Total Yards: 340.34
  • Pass Yards: 262.67
  • Rush Yards: 77.67

Chiefs vs Broncos NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

  • Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games
  • Denver is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Denver is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver’s last 7 games

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Expert NFL Betting Prediction for Chiefs vs Broncos

I know the Broncos are playing at home in this Week 4 divisional showdown, but right now, it’s easy to see that the Kansas City Chiefs are light years better than Denver, particularly on the offensive side of the ball. Second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes has been an absolute revelation with an NFL-record 13 TD passes in three games – with no interceptions – mind you. Even at this early juncture of his career, Patrick Mahomes is clearly vastly better than Case Keenum could ever hope to be. After tossing just seven picks a year ago for Minnesota,  Keenum has tossed five interceptions already against just three TD passes while compiling an unsightly 37.5 quarterback rating.

The Chiefs have owned the Broncos in recent meetings by winning each of the last five in this long rivalry. Denver has gone 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games while the Chiefs have gone a scorching 7-1 ATS in their last eight games. Don’t think twice about it, the Broncos win and cover!

NFL Week 4 Pick: Chiefs 35 Broncos 24