The Kansas City Chiefs host the Denver Broncos on Sunday hoping to remain in the hunt for the AFC Playoffs’ top seed. The 12-3 Chiefs take on the rival Broncos after one of their most impressive wins of the season. Denver fired coach Nathaniel Hackett earlier in the week. Will Hackett’s departure fire up the beleaguered Broncos? Or will Patrick Mahomes and his mates dominate Russell Wilson and the Colorado Ponies? Keep reading for NFL Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Kansas City versus Denver.
NFL Week 17 Betting Preview and Prediction for Denver Broncos at Kansas City
Denver Broncos versus Kansas City Chiefs Lines and Match Info
- When: Sunday, Jan. 1 at 1:00 pm ET
- Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
- TV / Streaming: CBS/Paramount+
- ATS Odds: Kansas City -12.5
- Money line Odds: Denver +560 / Kansas City -900
- Over/Under Odds: 44.5
Why bet on Denver versus Kansas City?
After the ridiculous 51-14 loss to the Rams in their last, Denver couldn’t wait any longer. On the following Monday, the Broncos parted ways with first year head coach Nathaniel Hackett.
Sometimes, losing a head coach can be to the detriment of the team. In this case, it should fire up the Broncos. Denver had gone 3-0 ATS in their last 3 before running into Baker and the Rams. So it’s not like the Broncos had been struggling against the spread this entire season.
Denver Broncos Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 316.6
- Passing Yards: 209.1
- Rushing Yards: 107.5
- Points Scored: 15.5
- Turnovers: 20
Denver Broncos Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 314.3
- Passing Yards: 196.9
- Rushing Yards: 117.4
- Points Scored: 20.3
- Takeaways: 19
Why bet on Kansas City versus Denver?
The Chiefs rank first in yards per game and passing yards each contest. Patrick Mahomes leads an offense that averages 29.2 points each time it plays.
The 29.2 ranks second in the NFL. Travis Kelce is putting up monster numbers. Mahomes to Kelce has happened 97 times this season for 1,257 yards, and 12 TDs.
Kansas City Chiefs Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 420.6
- Passing Yards: 303.5
- Rushing Yards: 117.1
- Points Scored: 29.2
- Turnovers: 21
Kansas City Chiefs Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 332.9
- Passing Yards: 225.7
- Rushing Yards: 107.1
- Points Scored: 22.1
- Takeaways: 15
Broncos at Chiefs Relevant Trends
- Broncos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 on the road
- Denver is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in week 17
- Under is 5-1 in the Broncos’ last 6 road games
- Chiefs are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 head-to-head
- Kansas City is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games at home
- Under is 5-0 in Kansas City’s last 5 home games
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Final Betting Prediction
The Chiefs were in a bind before the season, which is why they traded Mahomes’ favorite wideout target, Tyreek Hill. Heading into week 17, Andy Reid has given up on finding a WR1.
Reid started three tight-ends in the game against the Seahawks. It sounds crazy, but the gambit worked. Kansas City beat Seattle 24-10.
But Sunday’s game could be a different story. No doubt, the Chiefs will win this game. However, backing KC, a team that has covered in just 4 games this season, makes no sense.
In last week’s loss to L.A. it felt and looked like the Broncos were going half-speed. Denver players had given up giving it their all for Hackett well before his firing.
We should expect a more enthusiastic Broncos side. Denver won’t win straight up. But the Ponies keep this closer than the spread.
NFL Week 17 Pick: Denver Broncos +12.5
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