Matthew Stafford and the Detroit Lions will be in something of a ‘desperation mode’ when they host Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in an intriguing Week 3 Inter-Conference clash on Sunday. With the Patriots also looking to get back in the win column following their own humbling loss in NFL Week 2, let’s find out which team is offering the best betting value.
Patriots at Lions NFL Week 3 Spread & Prediction
The GM, the HC & number of other former #Patriots.#NEvsDET connections: https://t.co/SpATJ6qYYx pic.twitter.com/fV1lgiILSb— New England Patriots (@Patriots) September 21, 2018
When: Sunday, September 23, 2018 at 8:20 PM ETWhere: Ford Field, Detroit, MichiganTV: NBCRadio: New England / DetroitLive Stream: NFL LiveNFL Week 3 Odds: New England -6.5 / Total: 53.5
- Clear: 16°C/61°F
- Humidity: 58%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Wind: 7 mph E
- Cloud Cover: 1%
- Type of Stadium: Indoor
Why Bet On the New England Patriots?
Why should you bet on Tom Brady and company in Week 3? Because they’re the Patriots and don’t lose consecutive games, that’s why! After getting past Houston 27-20 in a hard-fought regular season opener, Tom Brady and the Patriots got man-handled in their 31-20 Week 2 road loss against the same Jacksonville Jaguars they beat in the AFC Championship last season. Tom Brady tossed two TD passes but the Patriots allowed Jacksonville quarterback Blake Bortles to throw four TD passes in the loss.
“You have a bad day against a good team, it’s a recipe for losing,” Brady said. “And we certainly had a bad day.”
The Jags got the win without star running back Leonard Fournette who sat out after straining his hamstring in Jacksonville’s regular season opener.
“We just obviously didn’t do anything well enough or close to well enough to be able to take a win today,” Pats coach Bill Belichick said. “It’s disappointing to have the kind of day that we had today, but that’s what it was, so we’ll live with it, own it and move on.”
- Average Score For: 23.50
- Total Yards: 345.50
- Pass Yards: 243.50
- Rush Yards: 102
- Average Score Against: 25.50
- Total Yards: 403
- Pass Yards: 267.50
- Rush Yards: 135.50
Why Bet On the Detroit Lions?
Why should you bet on the desperate Lions at home in week 3? because they’re desperate and getting almost seven points. After getting completely embarrassed in their 48-17 season-opening loss against the Jets two weeks ago, Detroit put up a much better effort, even if they still managed to come up short against San Francisco in their 30-27 Week 2 road loss. Quarterback Matthew Stafford went 34 for 53 for 347 yards wit three TD passes and no interceptions, but the Lions were held to just 98 rushing yards in the loss.
“We just have to make a few more plays, whether it be earlier in the game or later,” Stafford said. “There’s a million plays throughout the game we can clean up and be better, and it starts with me.”
- Average Score For: 22
- Total Yards: 383
- Pass Yards: 314.50
- Rush Yards: 68.50
- Average Score Against: 39
- Total Yards: 347.50
- Pass Yards: 168
- Rush Yards: 179.50
Latest NFL Betting Trends for Patriots at Lions
- New England is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 games
- New England is 14-3 SU in the last 17 games
- The total went UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games on the road
- Detroit is 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games
- Detroit is 1-5 SU in the last 6 games when playing New England
- The total went OVER in 8 of Detroit’s last 11 games
Patriots at Lions NFL Week 3 Betting Analysis and Prediction
The Patriots may have lost to Jacksonville in Week 2, but that’s one of the biggest reasons why they’re my pick to win and cover the spread as a nearly touchdown road favorite. The Patriots don;t often lose consecutive games and I just don;t see that happening in this contest. New England is clearly the better team on both sides of the ball and they’ve got a huge edge when it comes to coaching with Bill Belichick knowing everything about former assistant Matt Patricia.
The Patriots are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against a team with a losing record, 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss while the Lions have gone 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf and 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 Week 3 games. Make no mistake about it, New England will not lose two straight games and they’ll cover the chalk as a slightly less than touchdown road favorite.
NFL Week 3 Pick: Patriots 31 Lions 24