Week 12’s AFC matchup between the Houston Texans (1-8-1) and the Miami Dolphins (7-3) is scheduled to take place on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium. Following their 23-10 loss to the Commanders last week, the Texans lost their fifth straight game, while the Dolphins will come off their bye week after defeating the Browns 39-17 back in Week Ten.
Miami is in first place in the AFC East with a record of 7-3, while the Texans have a 1-8-1 record and now hold the distinction of having the worst record in the league, which could result in them being selected first overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. Let’s take a closer look at this matchup and give you the best bets for this matchup along with the NFL Odds.
NFL Week 12 Betting Preview for Houston Texans at Miami
Houston Texans Betting Preview: Texans Drop Fifth Straight Game
The Houston Texans‘ season is over; they will be fighting for the number one overall draft choice after their eighth loss of the season and fifth straight. The Houston squad has put in a poor effort over their last several games, and it looks like they are tanking at this point.
Davis Mills and the Texans offense were awful last week, as they mustered just ten points in a losing effort. The offensive unit as a whole put together a 190 total-yard performance, with Mills throwing two interceptions, while Dameon Pierce was shut down for eight yards on ten carries.
Sunday’s loss to the Commanders was caused by 344 yards and 23 scores that the Houston Texans’ defense allowed. In the defeat, neither a sack nor a turnover were recorded. With 7.1 yards per completion and 3.8 yards per rush against the Commanders‘ offense, the Texans’ defense struggled. The Texans will look to bounce back, but will have a tall task against the Dolphins.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview: Dolphins Look to Retain AFC East Lead
The Miami Dolphins, led by head coach Mike McDaniel, have a 7-3 record through their first ten games this season as they enter this matchup in first place in the AFC East. Miami has displayed a solid offensive game, with Jaylen Waddle, Tyreek Hill, and Tua Tagovailoa inspiring the team to standout performances. They enter this matchup ranked seventh in points per game (25.2), third in passing yards per game (293.8), and third in total yards (391.5).
However, the team’s defensive performance has been greatly damaged by several injuries to important players like Byron Jones, Nik Needham, and Brandon Jones. Miami ranks 22nd in scoring defense (24.1 ppg) and has just eight takeaways, placing them 30th in the league.
Both the offensive and defensive units got some well-needed rest after their bye week. Miami will look to win this one convincingly to stay atop the AFC standings and to fight for a top playoff spot.
Houston Texans vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Lines & Odds
According to Mybookie, the Dolphins are a whopping 12-point favorites (-110) when it comes to the spread. The Dolphins will be -600 moneyline favorites to defend their home turf, while the Texans will be +450 road underdogs. When it comes to the total, Mybookie lists the Over/Under at 45.5 points (-110).
Free Betting Pick
Houston comes into this contest with a 1-4 road record, and they have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games. Miami, on the other hand, has covered the spread in two of their last three contests, and they should have the advantage of playing at home and coming off of their bye week.
Miami’s offense will be too much for Houston to handle as the unit is averaging 35 points per game over their last three contests. The Texans are sticking with their “Trust the process” approach, but they continue to look non-competitive in games. The Dolphins should cover this number easily, while the Texans could potentially make a switch at quarterback and other positions to try and find answers.
NFL Betting Pick: Miami Dolphins -12 (-110)
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