Packers vs Bills Betting Lines, Prediction & Analysis - SNF Week 8

Packers vs Bills Betting Lines, Prediction & Analysis – SNF Week 8

Written by on October 28, 2022

When the schedulers decided to make Green Bay versus Buffalo NFL Week 8’s Sunday Night Football game, they expected Aaron Rodgers to lead an undefeated Packers squad to Buffalo to face Josh Allen and an undefeated Bills team. Buffalo isn’t undefeated but the Bills are the best team in the league. Things haven’t gone as planned for the 3-4 Green Bay Packers. Is this the game where Rodgers and his mates flip the script? Or will Allen and his crew add to Green Bay’s woes? Check out NFL Lines, analysis, and a free pick for Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills.   

NFL Week 8 Betting Preview for Green Bay Packers at Buffalo

Sunday Night Football: Green Bay Packers versus Buffalo Bills Lines and Match Info

  • When: Sunday, Oct. 30 at 8:20 pm ET 
  • Where: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY 
  • TV / Streaming: NBC / Peacock
  • ATS Odds: Buffalo -11
  • Money line Odds: Green Bay +460 / Buffalo -675   
  • Over/Under Odds: 47.5

Why bet on Green Bay versus Buffalo?

Green Bay heads to Orchard Park on a 3-game losing streak. The Packers lost to the Giants in a London game and then followed up the loss to NYG in a terrible losing performance versus the New York Jets.

Last Sunday, the Washington Commanders beat Green Bay. Things aren’t going well, but there’s hope. Aaron Rodgers will have success against Buffalo’s stout defense. Not only that, but Green Bay is too good to play four lousy games in a row. Also, the odds make it possible for the Packers to lose by 10 and still win against the spread. 

Green Bay Packers Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 331.6
  • Passing Yards: 221.3
  • Rushing Yards: 110.3
  • Points Scored: 18.3
  • Turnovers: 9

Green Bay Packers Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 308.4
  • Passing Yards: 168.9
  • Rushing Yards: 139.6
  • Points Scored: 20.9
  • Takeaways: 5

Why bet on Buffalo versus Green Bay?

If not for a failed final drive versus the then hot Miami Dolphins, the Bills would be 7-0 instead of 6-1. In addition, Buffalo’s offense ranks first in yards per game and first in passing yard per game.

The Bills’ defense ranks first in total yards allowed per, first in rushing yards allowed each contest, and first in points allowed per matchup. If all that wasn’t enough of a reason to back Buffalo versus the spread, the Bills host Green Bay after their bye and Buffalo is 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 weeks following a bye.  

Buffalo Bills Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 440.8
  • Passing Yards: 323.0
  • Rushing Yards: 117.8
  • Points Scored: 29.3
  • Turnovers: 10

Buffalo Bills Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 281.5
  • Passing Yards: 205.3
  • Rushing Yards: 76.2
  • Points Scored: 13.5
  • Takeaways: 11

Packers at Bills Relevant Trends

  • Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road
  • Green Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games
  • Over is 7-1-1 in the Packers’ last 9 games on turf
  • Bills are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games
  • Buffalo is 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games
  • Under is 4-0 in the Bills last 4 games

Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills Final Betting Prediction

Green Bay is a disaster. After GB traded Devante Adams, NFL handicappers gave the Packers the benefit of the doubt. Aaron Rodgers and head coach Matt LaFleur, the thinking went, would find a way.

After 7 games, 4 of which Green Bay has lost, and 3 of which the Pack has lost in a row, it’s apparent that, no, LaFleur has not found a way

Green Bay is getting worse week to week, not better, which means what Aaron Rodgers said after losing to Washington, that some starters shouldn’t be starting, is likely true. Who starts doesn’t fall on Rodgers’ shoulders. 

It falls on LeFleur’s. The problem is that LaFleur is likely starting folks who shouldn’t because he has no choice.

In any case, the pick for this game is a no-brainer. On one side you have a franchise in discord with the head coach and future hall of fame quarterback on different pages.

On the other side, you’ve got the soon to be NFL MVP, a head coach who has developed a lock down defense, and players with a single goal, to win a Super Bowl. Buffalo wins and covers.    

NFL Week 8 Pick: Buffalo Bills -11

  

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