The biggest tournament of the week on the ATP Tour is the 500-level Rio Open, played on the clay courts of the Jockey Club Brasileiro in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. This event is the first 500-level tournament on clay this season and can set the tone for the run-up to the clay Masters events in Europe and then the French Open. Check out MyBookie’s ATP odds for the Tournament.
Tennis Predictions: ATP 500: Rio Open
Alcaraz the Favorite
At MyBookie for this week, Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite again this week after capturing a title last week as a -150 favorite. He’s the top seed and the defending champion at this event. Alcaraz hadn’t won a title since the US Open and hadn’t played since November before running the table last week on clay in Buenos Aires.
Alcaraz has been dominating on clay with five titles in the last 12 months. The real question for the 19-year-old this week comes with his endurance. Injuries forced him to miss three months of action before returning last week, and his fitness in the South American heat could come into play this week.
Alcaraz is such a big favorite in the early rounds that he isn’t worth betting on. His first-round match for Tuesday has the Spaniard at -10000 on the MyBookie odds. Wait for the later rounds to grab value on Alcaraz.
No. 2 seed Cameron Norrie is also formidable on clay, winning last season in Lyon. Last week he made it all the way to the finals in Buenos Aires before falling to Alcaraz. Norrie has No. 4 seed Francisco Cerundolo in his half of the draw, along with No. 7 seed Albert Ramos Vinolas.
Another clay court winner in this draw is Italian Lorenzo Musetti, but the No. 3 seed lost in the first round on Monday in straight sets to Nicolas Jarry. His loss leaves No. 6 Diego Schwartzman as the top competition to Alcaraz in the top half of the draw. Schwartzman won this event in 2018 and lost in the finals to Alcaraz last year.
Alcaraz and Schwartzman aren’t the only former winners in the field. Laslo Djere won the title here in 2019 and won his first-round match on Monday. He has a tough draw with Schwartzman and Alcaraz in his path to the final, while former champions Dominic Theim and Cristian Garin lost their first-round matches on Monday.
First Round Matchups
With Musetti upset in the first round, the other top players are on notice at the Rio Open. Clay courts can be the equalizer, with even the players used to the surface ripe for upset.
Ramos-Vinolas is one of the seeded players in action on Tuesday, and MyBookie has him at -124 to win his match against Tomas Etcheverry, who is -102. These two have played twice before, with Ramos-Vinolas winning both times on clay courts. Look for him to win again on Tuesday and move into the second round of the Rio Open.
Despite being the seeded player, Schwartzman is actually an underdog in the first round on Tuesday. The Argentinian is +124 against Dusan Lajovic, who is -163. These two haven’t faced off since 2020, but Schwartzman is 3-1 lifetime against Lajovic and should make it 4-1 on Tuesday with the plus odds money line as a solid bet.
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