2022 NFL TNF Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Betting Analysis for Week 3

2022 NFL TNF Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Betting Analysis for Week 3

Written by on September 21, 2022

One of the most heated rivalries in the NFL resumes on Thursday night when the Cleveland Browns host the Pittsburgh Steelers. Both squads head into this week 3 contest with 1-1 records. Will the Browns get ahead of the Steelers in the AFC North? Or will Pittsburgh prevail SU and ATS? See below for NFL Betting Lines, analysis, and a free pick for Steelers at Browns. 

NFL Week 3 Betting Preview for Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Matchup

NFL Week 3 Thursday Night Football: Pittsburgh at Cleveland Odds and Game Info

Why bet on Pittsburgh versus Cleveland?

The Steelers offense has yet to get on track, but the defense is playing great. Although Pittsburgh is allowing over 400 total yards per game, the Steelers D has forced 6 turnovers in a couple of games. So Pittsburgh’s defense has stepped it up when it must. Also, the defensive stats are skewed due to an overtime game versus Cincinnati in the first week. If not for overtime, the total yards allowed per would be closer to 300 yards than over 400 yards. 

Pittsburgh Steelers Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 255.0
  • Passing Yards: 172.0
  • Rushing Yards: 83.0
  • Points Scored: 18.5
  • Turnovers: 2

Pittsburgh Steelers Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 404.0
  • Passing Yards: 275.5
  • Rushing Yards: 128.5
  • Points Scored: 18.5
  • Takeaways: 6

Why bet on Cleveland versus Pittsburgh?

Cleveland should be 2-0. The Browns allowed Joe Flacco to throw for 307 yards and 4 touchdowns in a loss to the Jets. Cleveland’s defense should have played much better than it did. The loss was embarrassing. So we should expect the Browns to step it up on Thursday night. 

Cleveland Browns Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 380.0
  • Passing Yards: 179.5
  • Rushing Yards: 200.5
  • Points Scored: 28.0
  • Turnovers: 1

Cleveland Browns Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 331.5
  • Passing Yards: 258.0
  • Rushing Yards: 73.5
  • Points Scored: 27.5
  • Takeaways: 2

Steelers at Browns Relevant Trends

  • Steelers are 4-0 in their last 4 versus the AFC North
  • Pittsburgh is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 versus the AFC North
  • Under is 4-0 in the Steelers’ last 4 versus the AFC North
  • Browns are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings
  • Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 at home
  • Under is 6-1 in the Browns’ last 7 games on a Thursday

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns Final Betting Prediction

Cleveland is supposed to have a good defense. But so far in a couple of games, the D has floundered. In week 1, Cleveland’s defense yielded 17 points to Carolina in the fourth quarter. In week 2, the Browns allowed, yep, 17 points to the Jets in the fourth quarter.

The problem Cleveland will have in this game is putting points on the board. So the Steelers may not have to mount a comeback to beat Cleveland.

Also, the most important trends say the Browns fail to cover. Cleveland is 1-5 against the spread in the last 6 meetings versus their rivals and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 at home.

Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh’s coach, knows how to beat Cleveland. Don’t be surprised if the Steelers come out on the winning side. The -4 on the home team makes the Browns an underlay. 

NFL Week 3 Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers +4 

 
 

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