Canadian Football League Week 3 Betting Analysis & Picks

Canadian Football League Week 3 Betting Analysis & Picks

Two weeks of the season in the CFL have concluded, and so far the underdogs have stolen the show. If you bet the favorite in every matchup so far, you’d be 3-5 on the season and wondering what in the world just happened.

With insane parity taking place so far in this condensed 14-game season, here are my picks for the Week 3 slate so you can bet against their CFL odds.

2021 CFL Week 3 Betting Preview

Thursday, August 19: Edmonton Elks at BC Lions

The Lions bounced back in Week 2 with a solid performance from quarterback Mike Reilly and four interceptions from the young and hungry defense. Edmonton is still winless after dropping their second consecutive home game, and the offense has been stale for two weeks now. With BC having their home opener on Thursday, look for the Leos defense to get after Trevor Harris and make life miserable for an Elks team that isn’t clicking at all right now. Lucky Whitehead has been explosive on offense for the Lions, and receiver Bryan Burnham is usually a shoe-in for 100+ yards a game. 

The Pick: BC Lions 27 – Edmonton Elks 16

Friday, August 20: Montreal Alouettes at Calgary Stampeders

With Bo Levi Mitchell out with a broken fibula for at least the next six weeks, the Stamps are in serious trouble. Their defense hasn’t looked impressive whatsoever thus far, and now Dave Dickenson’s team will turn to inexperienced QB Michael O’Connor to get the job done on offense. Calgary doesn’t have the same dominant weapons on offense that they once had, so O’Connor could be in for a bit of a rough stretch here. 

The Alouettes are coming off a dominant victory in Edmonton, and Vernon Adams Jr. has been really fun to watch. Montreal should win easily in Calgary on Friday night. 

The Pick: Montreal Alouettes 23 – Calgary Stampeders 7

Saturday, August 21: Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Toronto Argonauts

Winnipeg is far and away the best team in the CFL right now, so it should come as no surprise that they’re 2-0 and have won both of their first two games by more than one score. When healthy, Zach Collaros is one of the most consistent options at QB in the CFL, and the Blue Bombers defense has been absolutely suffocating so far. 

The Argonauts are going to be a good team this season, but they’re a roster with a lot of new players that still need more reps together. Add that with a rookie coach in Ryan Dinwiddie going up against the experienced Mike O’Shea, and Winnipeg will remain undefeated by the end of the weekend.

The Pick: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 17 – Toronto Argonauts 6

Saturday, August 21: Ottawa Redblacks at Saskatchewan Roughriders 

The Redblacks are coming off a bye week, but if anything that could come back to bite them. Getting your bye in Week 2 of the season isn’t ideal, as injuries haven’t started to mount and your momentum can be derailed. Ottawa is 1-0 on the season, but they barely scraped by the Elks in their lone game and only mustered seven first downs offensively. 

Redblacks QB Matt Nichols and head coach Paul LaPolice will have to figure out a better game plan in the always loud Mosaic Stadium. I’m not entirely sold on Riders QB Cody Fajardo as a long-term starter in the CFL, and losing top receiver Shaq Evans to injury is going to be a huge hole to fill. Until Ottawa shows me something offensively, however, I’ll side with the Riders and their 13th man. 

The Pick: Saskatchewan Roughriders 23 – Ottawa Redblacks 21