NCAAF Mexico State Aggies vs #2 Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Odds and Prediction

NCAAF Mexico State Aggies vs #2 Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Odds and Prediction

#2 Alabama gets somewhat of a breather on Saturday when the Crimson Tide host the 1-8 New Mexico State Aggies. The Tide are an incredible -51 ½ favorite to dominate the overmatched Aggies. Will Bryce Young and Bama cover the amazing spread? Or will New Mexico State do just enough to win this game ATS? Check out MyBookie NCAA Football odds, analysis, and a free pick for New Mexico State at Alabama. 

College Football Betting Odds – Mexico State vs #2 Alabama Analysis

NCAAF Week 11 Betting: New Mexico State Aggies at Alabama Odds & Match Info

  • When: Saturday, Nov. 13 at 12:00 pm ET 
  • Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
  • TV / Streaming: SEC Net / ESPN+ 
  • ATS Odds: Alabama -51 ½ 
  • Over/Under Odds: 67 

Why bet on New Mexico State versus #2 Alabama?

Yes, New Mexico State is an awful football team. But the Aggies can score points. New Mexico State scored 31 against San Jose State, 28 versus Nevada, and 34 against Hawaii. Even versus Utah State, a team that’s much, much better than they are, the Aggies scored 13. Also, did we mention the spread line is Aggies +51 ½? 

New Mexico State Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 378.6
  • Passing Yards: 278.1
  • Rushing Yards: 100.4
  • Points Scored: 23.1
  • Turnovers: 4

New Mexico State Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 463.3
  • Passing Yards: 289.8
  • Rushing Yards: 173.6
  • Points Scored: 38.1
  • Takeaways: 9

Why bet on #2 Alabama versus New Mexico?

In their last five games, Alabama has played against Ole Miss, Texas A&M in their only loss of the season, Tennessee and rival LSU. Texas A&M and Ole Miss are ranked in the College Football Top 25. LSU is always a tough opponent to get past. The Crimson Tide are relishing the chance to beat up an overmatched opponent in front of their fans. 

Alabama Crimson Tide Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 473.3
  • Passing Yards: 320.7
  • Rushing Yards: 152.7
  • Points Scored: 43.0
  • Turnovers: 4

Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 305.0
  • Passing Yards: 215.3
  • Rushing Yards: 89.7
  • Points Scored: 19.9
  • Takeaways: 12

Relevant Trends for New Mexico State Aggies versus #2 Alabama Crimson Tide

  • Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 on the road
  • New Mexico State is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss
  • Over is 5-1 in the Aggies’ last 6 games following a straight up loss
  • Alabama is 8-0 ATS versus a team with a losing record
  • Crimson Tide is 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games 
  • Over is 5-2-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last 8 games following a straight up win

New Mexico State versus Alabama Final Betting Prediction

Nick Saban doesn’t care about covering spreads. The Alabama football coach knows how to prepare his team for the SEC Championship and College Football Playoff.

While Bama could easily cover this, they would have to score on every possession to do so. More importantly, Saban might have to play Bryce Young and the rest of his offensive starters until after the third quarter to cover the 51 ½. 

It’s doubtful the Crimson Tide coach does that. This is a meaningless game that Alabama could win by 30 with their second string. Once Alabama gets up 35-0, Saban will pull his starters on both sides of the football.

Then, the Tide will roll to an easy 42 to 49-point win. That will be enough for Alabama to remain second on the CFP Rankings. It won’t be enough for Bama backers to win against the spread. 

NCAAF Week 11 Pick: New Mexico State

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