After four months of grueling action, we made it to the final destination. The TCU Horned Frogs will meet the Georgia Bulldogs for the College Football Playoffs National Championship on Monday night. This game will be played at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles, which also hosted the 2022 Super Bowl.
Coming into the season, no one expected this kind of season from TCU. Coming off of a 5-7 campaign last season, the Horned Frogs didn’t even play in a bowl game. Now at 13-1, they are playing for the sport’s biggest prize. As 13 ½-point underdogs to the SEC powerhouse Georgia Bulldogs, TCU knows that they are in for a battle. So, with all odds against them, why should we bet on TCU? Let’s take a closer at the Horned Frogs and some reasons why you should bet on their NCAA Football National Championship Odds.
Why Should You Bet On TCU to Win the National Championship? | NCAA Football Betting Analysis
First, when talking about the TCU offense, you have to start with Max Duggan. The Heisman Trophy runner-up has had a stellar season for the Horned Frogs. TCU is averaging over 41 points per game on the season. Duggan has thrown for over 3,500 yards with 32 touchdowns and just six interceptions. Duggan can also hurt you with his legs, as he is a threat to run when he gets outside of the pocket.
Duggan’s favorite target is wide receiver, Quinton Johnson. Johnson has over 1,000 yards receiving on the season with six touchdown catches. Georgia’s secondary has allowed an average of 224 yards passing per game. However, they have been torched in their last two games against LSU and Ohio State. The Bulldogs’ secondary gave up a combined 850 yards passing in both of those games. We’ll see how Duggan and the TCU offense attack the weakness of the Georgia defense.
We can’t forget the TCU rushing attack. They rush for over 200 yards per game. Their leading rusher is Kendre Miller. Miller has rushed for just under 1,400 yards on the season, with 17 touchdowns. However, Georgia’s rushing defense is one of the nation’s best and only allows an average of 80 yards per game on the ground. Sonny Dykes has brought an offensive state of mind to Fort Worth, and the Horned Frogs squad has embraced it.
This is where TCU could have some issues. The TCU defense gives up an average of 26 points per game while allowing just under 400 total yards per contest. While they have gone up against some high-powered offenses in the Big 12, they have yet to see an offense as good as Georgia’s. The Bulldogs average nearly 40 points per game while gaining just under 500 yards per game.
Why Should I Bet on TCU?
For starters, 13 ½ points is a lot of points. We know that Georgia is arguably the most talented team in the country, but TCU is no slouch. In their last 14 games, the Horned Frogs are 10-3-1 against the spread. While everyone loves a good underdog story, and TCU is a very good story, we don’t know if they’re good enough to beat Georgia. But we think this will be a very high-scoring game that will be decided late. Take TCU and the points.
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