Oklahoma Vs Iowa State Expert Analysis - NCAAF Betting

Oklahoma Vs Iowa State Expert Analysis – NCAAF Betting

Written by on December 18, 2020

Two of the  hottest teams in college football will brawl for it all when the sixth-ranked Iowa State Cyclones take on the 10th-ranked Oklahoma Sooners in the 2020 Big 12 championship game on Saturday. Despite their struggles this season, the Sooners will look to extend their five-year run as Big 12 champions. Iowa State hadn’t had a winning season in six years and hadn’t won at least eight games since they won nine in 2000. Now, the Cyclones are in search of the first outright conference crown. Let’s find out where the best college football betting value can be found in this Oklahoma Vs Iowa State matchup so you can bet against their NCAAF odds.

College Football Odds and Predictions – No. 10 Oklahoma at No. 6 Iowa State

No. 10 Oklahoma (7-2) vs No. 6 Iowa State (8-2)

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 19, 2020 at 12:00 PM ET
  • Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
  • TV: ABC
  • NCAAF Odds: Oklahoma -5.5
  • Total: 58

Why Bet On No.1 0 Oklahoma

Oklahoma (7-2, 6-2) has won six consecutive games since losing to….you guessed it….Iowa State, 37-30 on the road on Oct. 3. The Sooners comes into this contest fresh off a convincing 27-14 win over Baylor on Saturday despite never coming close to covering the chalk as a 23-point home favorite.

Quarterback Spencer Rattler passed for 193 yards with two touchdowns and one interception in the win. Since the loss to Iowa State, the sophomore signal-caller has throw 14 TD passes and three interceptions.

“He’s still being the aggressive player that we want him to be but certainly has done a good job here the last several games of not making very many mistakes or putting our team or our offense in bad situations,” Sooners coach Lincoln Riley said.

Oklahoma also has a pair of players in action that were forced to miss the previous meetings against the Cyclones with sophomore running back Rhamondre Stevenson and defensive end Ronnie Perkins both back after serving six-game suspensions.

Oklahoma is ranked 15th nationally in total offense, eighth in passing, 72nd in rushing and seventh in scoring (43.4 ppg). Defensively, the Sooners are ranked 17th overall, 66th against the pass, fourth against the run and 29th in points allowed (29.0 ppg)

Why Bet On No. 6 Iowa State

Iowa State is also on a nice roll, having won five straight games including an emphatic 2-6 smackdown of West Virginia on Saturday. Quarterback Brock Purdy has heated up in a big way in recent weeks after getting off to a slow start. The junior passed for 247 yards with three TD tosses and no interceptions while rushing seven times for 38 yards and another score while leading the Cyclones to the commanding victory.

Purdy has thrown for a whopping 985 yards with seven TD passes and n interceptions over the last three games. He threw one TD pass and rushed for another in Iowa State’s earlier win over the Sooners this season.

The Cyclones haven’t won a football conference title since sharing their conference crown with Nebraska way back in 1912, the year after I was born. All jokes aside, Oklahoma’s Riley said Iowa State’s rise is no surprise to him.

“This isn’t some Rudy story,” Riley said. “This is not (that) they’re just finding a way with bad players. They have good players, and they have had good players. They combine good players, good scheme and good coaches, and you’re gonna, a lot of times, have a good result.”

Iowa State ranks 28th in total offense, 50th in passing, 30th in rushing and 28th in scoring (34.0 ppg). The Cyclones are ranked 25th in total defense, 67th against the pass, a stellar 10th against the run and 27th in points allowed (21.3 ppg).

Expert Analysis and Prediction

Oklahoma is 5-1 ATS in its last six games, but the Sooners are just 5-12 ATS in its last 17 neutral site games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games as a favorite.

Iowa State has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games, 15-6-2 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS win and a blistering 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog.

Oklahoma State might be 5.5-point favorites in this Big 12 rematch, but the Sooners are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings against Iowa State. I’m expecting Iowa State’s defense to harass Spencer Rattler into at least one costly turnover and possible two while Brock Purdy continues the high level of play we’ve seen from him in recent weeks.

In short, I like the Cyclones to get it done in an absolute thriller against the Sooners for the second time this season to claim their first ever outright Big 12 conference championship!

Pick: Iowa State 31 Oklahoma 30

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