Dallas vs. Detroit NBA Betting Expert Analysis

Dallas vs. Detroit | NBA Betting Expert Analysis

While the Detroit Pistons are playing out the string on another losing season Wednesday, the Dallas Mavericks are looking to improve their Western Conference playoff seed. The Mavs will be favored on the NBA odds in Detroit but by how much depends on a few injuries.

How to Bet Mavericks at Pistons NBA Odds & TV Info

  • When: Wednesday, 7 PM ET
  • Where: Little Caesars Arena
  • TV: NBA League Pass
  • Stream: NBA.com, NBA TV app
  • Radio: Tunein.com
  • NBA Odds: TBA (Mavs will be favored)

Season Series

The Mavs look for the season sweep as on Feb. 8 they routed the Pistons 116-86. Luka Doncic had 33 points, 11 assists and eight rebounds and Jalen Brunson scored 21 points. Dallas never trailed trailing after Reggie Bullock’s 3-pointer snapped a 21-21 tie with 3 1/2 minutes left in the first quarter. That started a 15-5 run over the rest of the quarter, with Doncic scoring the next six points for Dallas before assisting on consecutive 3s by Trey Burke. Doncic either scored or assisted on 29 of the 36 points the Mavericks scored in the first quarter. Hamidou Diallo had 18 points to lead the Pistons. Star rookie Cade Cunningham was out.

Why Bet on Dallas?

Dallas could finish as high as third in the Western Conference. The Mavs come off a highly-charged 118-112 win in Milwaukee on Sunday. Luka Doncic had 32 points, 15 assists and eight rebounds. The double-double was his 42nd of the season, and he’s also up to five games with at least 15 assists. Dallas is now 33-12 in its last 45 games, and he’s a big reason for the success.

Dwight Powell accounted for 22 points and 13 rebounds. Powell came through with one of his best games of the season. He recorded his second double-double of the year. Powell has scored at least 10 points in 32 games this season and the Mavs are 26-6 in them.

Reggie Bullock had 16 points and seven rebounds. Bullock drained three key three-pointers in the win as he helped his team to overcome a fourth-quarter deficit. Dallas is 21-4 when he scores in double figures, including 13-2 when he scores 15+ points and 4-1 when he scores 20+. Jalen Brunson added 15 points.

Trey Burke and Sterling Brown (health and safety protocols) are not on the injury report ahead of Wednesday’s game. Burke and Brown have missed the past few games, but both should return to the rotation.  Maxi Kleber (right ankle soreness) has been ruled out for Wednesday’s matchup. Davis Bertans ended up being the main backup big on Sunday.

The Mavericks have taken the last four meetings against Detroit all by double digits and an average margin of 15.3 points. Doncic is averaging 34.0 points (.506 FG%, .429 3FG%), his highest career scoring average against any team, to go along with 9.3 rebounds and 9.8 assists. Doncic has 190 made 3-pointers this season and needs 3 to set a new single-season high (192 in 2020-21).

The Mavericks are allowing the second-fewest points in the NBA this season (104.8 ppg). Dallas has never finished a season ranked higher than fourth in points allowed (finished 4th four times: 1988-89, 1989-90, 2006-07 and 2016-17).

Why Bet on Detroit?

Detroit won its third game in a row Sunday, 121-117 at Indiana. Carsen Edwards made his debut for the Pistons and finished with 13 points, nine assists and three rebounds in 31 minutes off the bench. Edwards signed a two-year deal with the Pistons earlier in the day. Braxton Key provided 12 points and nine rebounds in flirting with a double-double for the second game in a row. Key has taken advantage of several Pistons being out of the lineup of late.

Saddiq Bey scored 31 points in just 23 minutes. Bey scored 20 of his points in the first quarter but didn’t play much in the second half. The Pistons have been playing their core less and less as they try to stay in the top three for lottery odds. Bey has set a team record with 208 made three-pointers this year. He has made 383 three-pointers in 149 career games, which marks the second-highest three-point total for any player through as many games in NBA history.

Star rookie Cade Cunningham and a few others didn’t play Sunday and it’s not clear whether they will Wednesday. Cunningham is dealing with a hip injury but did practice Tuesday. Cunningham recorded his 13th game with 25-plus points against Philadelphia on March 31. He has now tied Isiah Thomas’ franchise record (13 games) for the most 25-plus point performances in a season by a player age 20 or younger. Cunningham has made 113 threes through his first 62 career games, putting him second in franchise history for most threes in a player’s first 62 career games.

Guard Cory Joseph missed Sunday’s game and is questionable. Detroit is tied for sixth in the NBA in bench scoring (38.4 ppg) this season. The Pistons are eighth in the NBA in offensive rebounds per game (10.9).

Pistons head coach Dwane Casey spent three seasons as the lead assistant in Dallas (2008-11), including the team’s championship run in 2011, where he coached Mavericks special advisor Dirk Nowitzki and Mavericks head coach Jason Kidd.

Expert Prediction

  • Mavericks 114, Pistons 108
 
 

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