Diamondbacks vs Rockies MLB Odds, Preview and Pick

Written by on May 28, 2019

The Arizona Diamondbacks take on the Colorado Rockies on Tuesday night at Coors Field. Arizona hopes to make up ground on the NL West leading L.A. Dodgers. Can the Diamondbacks win on the road? Or, will Colorado take the victory? Check out MLB betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Diamondbacks-Rockies on May 28.

Diamondbacks vs Rockies MLB Odds, Preview and Pick

Why Arizona Diamondbacks are a good bet at +120?

Arizona starter Merrill Kelly has a 4.75 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP. That doesn’t bode well for Kelly when he visits the Rockies at Coors Field on Tuesday night. Then again, whatever issues Kelly is likely to face, Rockies’ starter Antonio Senzatela is likely to face as well.

The problem with throwing at Coors Field is that it has the highest OPS of any ballpark in baseball. Hitters thrive at Coors Field with a .355 OBP, a .507 SLG, and a .862 OPS. But, those stats are true for any pitcher, not just Merrill Kelly. If Kelly has a bad first few innings, the D’Backs batting lineup can bail him out.

Team Statistics

  • Runs/G: 5.28
  • BA: .259
  • OPS: .777
  • HR: 75
  • SB: 26
  • ERA: 4.07
  • WHIP: 1.30
  • KS: 477
  • Quality Starts: 24
  • Errors: 20

Why Colorado Rockies are a good bet at -140?

Are the Rockies the best bet in the MLB lines?

24-year-old Antonio Senzatela has yet to hit his stride. So far this season, he’s recorded a 6.21 ERA, a 3-4 record, and a 1.62 WHIP. Although those stats point to Senzatela and the Rockies losing on Tuesday night, he pitched well in his last home start.

Senzatela led the Rockies to a 10-7 win against the San Diego Padres on May 12. He threw 6.2 innings and allowed only 3 earned runs off 4 hits while striking out 7. If he’s got his best stuff working on May 28, the Rockies should win this game.

Team Statistics

  • Runs/G: 5.27
  • BA: .257
  • OPS: .770
  • HR: 68
  • SB: 16
  • ERA: 5.15
  • WHIP: 1.43
  • KS: 417
  • Quality Starts: 16
  • Errors: 25

MLB Betting Trends for Diamondbacks vs Rockies

  • Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a loss
  • Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series
  • Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kelly’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game
  • Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 versus the NL West
  • Rockies are 6-2 in their last 8 home games versus a right-handed starter
  • Rockies are 4-1 in Senzatelas last 5 starts versus the National League West

Diamondbacks vs Rockies MLB Betting Analysis

Neither team has a real edge here. One thing to notice is that the D’Backs are 1-3 straight up in Kelly’s last 4 starts. He only lasted 1.2 innings against the Padres on May 22. If Colorado runs Kelly off the mound early, the D’Backs will have a tough time getting back in this game because they’ve got a mediocre bullpen.

Arizona’s bullpen ranks seventeenth in MLB with a 4.31 ERA. Opponents’ batting average against Arizona’s relievers is .252. Colorado will take this. They might take this by 2 runs or more.

MLB Free Pick: Rockies -140