Phillies vs Dodgers MLB Lines, Betting Analysis & Expert Pick

Phillies vs Dodgers MLB Lines, Betting Analysis & Expert Pick

Written by on May 31, 2019

The Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Dodgers will both look to stay red-hot when they square off in the opener of a three-game series on Friday. With both teams looking to pick up a win, let’s find out where the best value lies in this matchup.

Phillies vs Dodgers MLB Lines, Betting Analysis & Expert Pick

Starting Pitchers

  • Phillies RH Jake Arrieta (5-4, 3.60 ERA)
  • Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (6-2, 3.67)

Why Bet On The Phillies?

Philadelphia had won five of six and two straight over St. Louis heading into Thursday night’s series finale, but the Phillies ended up suffering a narrow 5-3 loss as starting pitcher Jerad Eickhoff gave up four runs and eight hits in 6.1 innings. Bryce Harper had three hits including a pair of doubles, but just one RBI. Rhys Hoskins and Cesar Hernandez both added an RBI in the loss. The Phillies have won nine of their last 13 games to move three games in front of second place Atlanta in the NL East. Harper has 11 extra-base hits and 16 RBIs over his last 13 contests.

“It’s definitely a test for us, but I don’t think we have to play with any pressure,” second baseman Cesar Hernandez told reporters. “Down the road, if we stay in first place and they stay in first place you know that eventually we’re going to play each other in a bigger scenario. But for now there’s no pressure.”

Veteran right-hander Jake Arrieta will take the mound in this one after getting his first win since April 27 by limiting Milwaukee to two runs in eight innings while striking out eight.

“He was huge for us,” catcher J.T. Realmuto told reporters. “His stuff is electric. Even when guys get out there and runners are in scoring position, with him, that’s when he’s at his best.” The 2015 NL Cy Young Award winner is 3-3 with a 3.07 ERA in seven career starts against the Dodgers.

Team Statistics

  • Runs: 5.02
  • Hits: 8.38
  • Walks: 3.98
  • Strike Outs: 8.88
  • Runs: 4.43
  • Hits: 8.88
  • Walks: 3.38
  • Strike Outs: 8.62

Why Bet On The Dodgers?

Are the Dodgers a safe bet in the MLB lines for Friday?

The Dodgers had also won five of six and seven of their previous nine games before beating the Mets 2-0 on Thursday night to make it two straight wins and six of their last seven overall. Starter Hyun-Jin Ryu tossed 7.2 shutout innings while striking out seven and walking one. Kenley Jansen didn’t allow a hit in 1.1 innings to get the save. The Dodgers lead all of baseball in victories (38) rank a stellar fourth in scoring (5.4 rpg) and equally impressive third in team ERA (3.61).

Veteran right-hander Kent Maeda will make the start on Friday night after coming off the injured list Saturday to record his third straight win by limiting Pittsburgh to three runs in five innings of an 11-2 win. The 31-year-old has a stupendous 1.38 ERA in four starts this season, but just a 5.64 ERA in six road starts.

Team Statistics

  • Runs: 5.40
  • Hits: 8.86
  • Walks: 4.14
  • Strike Outs: 7.61
  • Runs: 3.96
  • Hits: 7.72
  • Walks: 2.26
  • Strike Outs: 8.67

Phillies vs Dodgers MLB Betting Trends

  • Phillies are 5-2 SU in the last 7 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of the Phillies’ last 5 games on the road
  • Dodgers are 6-1 SU in the last 7 games
  • The total went OVER in 9 of the Dodgers’ last 10 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Phillies vs Dodgers

The Phillies are 5-1 in their last six road games against a right-handed starter and 9-3 in their last dozen games following a loss. Unfortunately, the Phils are also just 3-7 in Jake Arrieta’s last 10 starts on five days rest and 2-5 in his last seven Game 1 starts. Conversely, the Dodgers are a blistering 18-5 in their last 23 home games against a team with a winning record, 40-14 in their last 54 home games overall and a perfect 4-0 in Kenta Maeda’s last four home starts.

The Dodgers have also lost just five home games since April 2 and are a stellar 22-7 at home on the season while Philly has gone a modest 13-12 on the road. Keep it simple here MLB bettors, the Dodgers take care of business to win at home.

MLB Betting Pick: Dodgers 5 Phillies 3

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