MLB Week 15: Top Picks Against the Spread with Betting Analysis

MLB Week 15: Top Picks Against the Spread with Betting Analysis

We are not quite in the homestretch in the MLB season, but with most teams closing in on 100 games played, we are certainly getting close.

For the most part, there are some clear leaders at the top of the divisions in both leagues, although we have 2 that are still very close and up for grabs.


My Analysis

Even with the divisions that look pretty much set, this is not time for the leaders to relax, as a bad run of form could see things tighten up over the next couple of months.

For every team, it’s all about taking one series at a time, starting with another big weekend of action.

With that in mind, let’s see if we can pick out some ATS winners for this weekend.


Philadelphia Phillies over Oakland A’s

Friday, July 12, 6:40 PM | The Phillies are one of the teams that look to be very comfortable at the top of their division.

As it stands now, they are 8 ½ games up on the Atlanta Braves and have a chance to build on that with a weekend series against the lowly /sportsbook/mlb/oakland-athletics/.

The Phillies are at home for this one, which is big when you consider that the A’s have only managed 13 wins in games played on the road this season.

Meanwhile, the Phillies are an impressive 35-14 in their own building and will have Tarik Skubal on the mound. He is 6-0 with a 1.74 ERA in home games.



Atlanta Braves over San Diego Padres

Friday, July 12, 9:40 PM | This is perhaps my riskiest pick for the weekend, especially when you consider that the Padres took 3 of 4 from the Braves when they met earlier in the season.

The Braves have also been pretty mediocre on the road, going 22-23, but they might be running into the Padres at the right time.

At the time of writing, the Padres are on a 4-game losing skid, which is all the more disappointing when you consider that they have lost the chance to close the gap on the slumping Dodgers.

This one is more of a hunch play than anything else, to be honest.


Toronto Blue Jays over Arizona Diamondbacks

Saturday, July 13, 10:10 PM | If truth be told, the playoffs are really not in the cards for either of these teams, so both are basically playing out the season.

The Blue Jays head out west with a 21-26 road record, which is certainly not that convincing.

That said, the Diamondbacks have not necessarily been lighting it up at home, playing .500 ball at 23-23.

What swing things in the favor of the Jays for me in this game is the D-backs starting pitcher, Yilber Diaz, who has only pitched 6 innings all season.

I think the Jays might be able to get to him early.


Seattle Mariners over LA Angels

Sunday, July 14, 4:07 PM | The Mariners are at the top of the AL West, but things are close, with the Houston Astros sitting just 2 games behind.

They appear to be pulling out of a bit of a mini slump, winning each of their last 2 games, but they are also not that great on the road, going 21-25.

That said, they should still be more than good enough to handle the Angels, who they swept earlier in the season.

This could be another sweep, but I particularly like Seattle on Sunday with Logan Gilbert (6-5, 2.94 ERA) on the mound.

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