Mets fans haven’t had much to cheer for regarding their team in recent weeks, but maybe the Mets can at least win the Subway Series against the rival Yankees. They open a two-game set in Queens on Tuesday night with the Yanks as MLB Betting favorites.
How to Bet Yankees vs Mets MLB Odds & Game Info
- When: Tuesday, 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Citi Field
- Probable pitchers (away/home): James Paxton/Zack Wheeler
- TV: MLB Network
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- Radio: WCBS
- MLB Odds: New York Yankees -160 (Total 9)
Why Bet on NY Yankees?
The Yanks and Mets split two games last month in Yankee Stadium – it was actually a doubleheader on June 11 because the first game was rained out. The Yankees swept two games against the Red Sox in London over the weekend and scored a total of 29 runs in doing so.
DJ LeMahieu went 3-for-6 with a two-run double in Sunday’s win over the Red Sox. The Yankees fell behind 4-0 in the fourth inning and trailed 4-2 heading into the top of the seventh inning but scored nine runs in the seventh. LaMahieu had a two-run double in that inning, capping off a stellar weekend in which he went 7-for-12 with three doubles and seven RBI. He’s having a great season overall, slashing .345/.392/.534 with 12 home runs, 61 RBI and four steals in 76 games. He is on a 14-game hitting streak, with 10 of those 14 games seeing him connect for multiple hits. Shortstop Didi Gregorius is also hitting well, having homered in two of his last three games while working on what is now a four-game streak of multi-hit performances.
Yankees first baseman Luke Voit left Saturday’s 17-13 win over the Red Sox due to what he described as a “lower abdominal” injury and didn’t play Sunday. Voit doubled to lead off the fifth inning but said he felt tightness while rounding first base and then hobbled into second. Voit might not be ready by Tuesday but could be with two days off. New York is again without injured outfielder Giancarlo Stanton. Because of his injuries, Stanton has only played in nine games for New York this season.
Yankees general manager Brian Cashman said it’s unlikely that Stanton will be back in July.
It’s lefty James Paxton on the mound here. Paxton allowed six runs on eight hits with four walks and three strikeouts across 4.1 innings during and no-decision against the Blue Jays on Wednesday. Paxton yielded three homers and two of his four walks came around to score on those homers. It’s is the second time in the last four starts that Paxton has yielded six runs. Despite the recent struggles, the southpaw is 5-3 with a 4.34 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and 81 strikeouts in 64.1 innings this season.
Paxton will get another crack at the Mets after he was thumped for six runs and seven hits over 2 2/3 innings in his Subway Series debut on June 11. He has pitched to a 6.08 ERA in six starts since returning from the injured list on May 29.
Why Bet on NY Mets?
The Mets beat the Braves on Sunday 8-5 to end a seven-game losing streak. Jeff McNeil went 3-for-5 and delivered a go-ahead two-run single with two outs in the eighth inning. The first-time All-Star — who was voted onto the squad on the players’ ballot — is having a terrific season atop the Mets’ lineup, slashing .348/.412/.509 with six homers, 34 RBI and three stolen bases. His .348 batting average is the top mark in all of baseball.
Edwin Diaz worked a scoreless ninth inning against the Braves, preserving a three-run lead to earn his 17th save of the season. Diaz got Ronald Acuna to fly out to the right field, then struck out Dansby Swanson and Freddie Freeman to end it. To say that it has been a rough season for the 25-year-old hurler is an understatement. Diaz has now converted 17 of his first 21 save chances on the season but has done so with a 4.78 ERA and 1.38 WHIP.
Also named to the All-Star team from the Mets were first baseman Pete Alonso and starting pitcher Jacob deGrom. Alonso, 24, is the first Mets rookie position player and the fourth rookie to be named to an All-Star team in team history, joining Tom Seaver (1967), Jerry Koosman (1968) and Dwight Gooden (1984). Alonso ranks second in the majors with 28 homers, second with 48 extra-base hits, fourth in slugging (.629) and tied for seventh with 64 RBI. He has already set the Mets rookie single-season home run record and owns the NL rookie record for the most homers prior to the All-Star break. Only three rookies in major league history have hit more home runs prior to the All-Star break. Alonso will also compete in the Home Run Derby.
It’s Zack Wheeler on the mound here. Wheeler (6-5) allowed one earned run on two hits and two walks while striking out seven across six innings Thursday against the Phillies. He did not factor in the decision. Wheeler kept the Phillies’ lineup off-balance through his six innings of work, with the only extra-base hit he allowed coming on a solo home run from Bryce Harper.
While he generated only 12 swinging strikes across 107 total pitches, the seven strikeouts were Wheeler’s highest total in his past five starts. Since his ERA spiked to 4.94 after his June 17 start, Wheeler has allowed just two earned runs across 13 innings of work in his past two outings.
Wheeler allowed nine runs (five earned) in a loss at Yankee Stadium earlier this season, bloating his career ERA to 10.00 against the Mets’ interborough rivals.
Yankees vs Mets MLB Betting Trends
- Yankees are 4-1 in Paxton’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game
- Mets are 2-5 in Wheeler’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game
- Yankees are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games against Mets
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees’ last 7 games
- Mets are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mets last 7 games against an opponent in the American League
Expert Final Score Prediction for Yankees vs Mets
New York Yankees 5 – New York Mets 4