Trail Blazers vs Nuggets NBA Playoffs Game 5 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

Written by on May 7, 2019

The Portland Trail Blazers and Denver Nuggets head into Game 5 tied 2-2 in their best of seven series. Portland will look to end a 2-game losing streak. Can the Trail Blazers upset the Nuggets at the Pepsi Center? Or, will Denver take a 3-2 series lead? See below for NBA Playoffs betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Blazers-Nuggets Game 5!

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets NBA Playoffs Game 5 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

Why Portland Trail Blazers are a good bet at +4 ½?

Portland had been on a roll. They upset Denver 97-90 in Game 2. Then in Game 3, they beat the Nuggets 140-137 in overtime. The Trail Blazers could have taken a 3-1 lead in Game 4.

In Game 4, the Nuggets upset the Trail Blazers 116-112. Portland must only go back to what worked in Game 3 and Game 2 to get back on the winning track. If Damien Lillard takes charge, Portland has a shot at the straight up win.

Team Statistics

  • Points/G: 114.7
  • Field Goal %: 46.7
  • 3-Point %: 35.9
  • Free Throw %: 81.4
  • Rebounds/G: 48
  • Points/G: 110.5
  • Field Goal %: 45.7
  • 3-Point %: 35.9
  • Free Throw %: 77
  • Rebounds/G: 42.8

Why Denver Nuggets are a good bet at -4 ½?

Denver played it’s most complete game in the 116-112 Game 4 win. The Nuggets got great production from Jamal Murray, Gary Harris, Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, and Will Barton off the bench.

Barton scored 11 points, had 5 boards, and 3 assists in less than 30 minutes. Millsap scored 21 points and had 10 boards. Gary Harris scored 14 points and grabbed 5 rebounds. When those three players help Murray and Jokic, Denver is tough to beat. If those 3 players step it up in Game 5, Denver should win and cover.

Team Statistics

  • Points/G: 110.7
  • Field Goal %: 46.6
  • 3-Point %: 35.1
  • Free Throw %: 75.5
  • Rebounds/G: 46.4
  • Points/G: 106.7
  • Field Goal %: 45.8
  • 3-Point %: 33.9
  • Free Throw %: 75.3
  • Rebounds/G: 42.5

NBA Playoffs Betting Trends for Trail Blazers vs Nuggets

  • Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss
  • Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall
  • Trail Blazers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Tuesday games
  • Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Conference Semifinals games
  • Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning road record
  • Nuggets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 following an ATS win.

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Game 5 Final Analysis

Both teams show positive and negative trends. The key in this game is how Portland defends Harris and Millsap. They tried to concentrate their efforts around Murray and Jokic in Game 4. It didn’t work.

Millsap dominated the way Jokic usually does. That doesn’t mean Jokic didn’t have a great game. Nikola scored 21 points, had 11 assists, and grabbed 10 boards. Millsap’s play gives Denver two options in the paint. Both Millsap and Jokic can also step back and shoot the three.

Portland has played well. Denver has figured out how to beat the Trail Blazers, though. The Nuggets should win and cover.

NBA Playoffs Betting Pick: Nuggets -4 ½