March Madness Odds: Sweet 16 Pick UConn vs San Diego State

On Thursday, it’s a rematch of last season’s NCAA Men’s College Basketball Tournament Final when the defending champion Connecticut Huskies take on the San Diego State Aztecs a massive -10 agaisnt the spread favorite.

UConn easily rolled into the Sweet 16 by drubbing the Northwestern Wildcats. SDSU had an even easier time marching to the Sweet 16 in their blistering beat down of Yale.

Which team prevails in Thursday’s rematch?

MyBookie offers the March Madness odds for UConn vs. San Diego State plus the winning pick for the game and a complete Sweet 16 March Madness betting analysis. Elite 8 is the next stop, so time to bet on the winner of the next round.

2024 March Madness Odds for UConn vs. San Diego State Pick: Get your Betting Analysis and Pick for the Game | MyBookie Sweet 16 Preview of the NCAA Tournament

2024 NCAA Division I men’s basketball tournament | 85th annual edition of the tournament

1 Connecticut Huskies vs 5 San Diego State Aztecs | East Region: Sweet 16
ATS Odds: UConn -10
Total Odds: 135.5
Sunday, March 28th, 2024 at 7:39 PM
TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts

Why San Diego State is a Good Bet Versus UConn

San Diego State had a tough first round game. But instead of believing they got lucky, SDSU went up against Yale and blasted the Bulldogs.

The destruction came in every phase of the game. The Aztecs held Yale to 37% from the field and 36.8% from three. Yale’s hero in the upset win over Auburn, John Poulakidas, scored 9 versus the Aztecs.

The most important stat, though, and the one which gives SDSU a shot against UConn, is that the Aztecs shot 48.1% from three versus Yale. San Diego State is going to have to take and make three point shots if they hope to upset the Huskies.

San Diego State Last 5

W – 85-57 vs Yale
W – 69-65 vs UAB
L – 68-61 vs New Mexico
W – 86-70 vs Utah State
W – 74-71 vs UNLV

San Diego State Predicted Starting Lineup

F – J. Pal
F – J. LeDee
G – M. Parrish
G – D. Trammell
G – L. Butler

Why UConn is a Good Bet Versus San Diego State

Connecticut scored 75 points in the win over Northwestern, but the real reason why the Huskies easily won is because they held the Wildcats to 37.3% from the field and 26.7% from three.

UConn has a great offense, but their defense is incredible. By holding Northwestern to 58 points, UConn has now held three straight opponents, including Midwest 3-seed Marquette, to less than 60 points. Marquette scored 57, Stetson scored 52, and Northwestern scored 58.

UConn Last 5

W – 75-58 vs Northwestern
W – 91-52 vs Stetson
W – 73-57 vs Marquette
W – 95-90 vs St John’s
W – 87-60 vs Xavier

UConn Predicted Starting Lineup

F – A. Karaban
C – D. Clingan
G – S. Castle
G – G. Newton
G – C. Spencer

UConn vs. San Diego State Betting Prediction | San Diego State Moves to Elite 8

On paper, UConn wins, but here’s the issue. The Huskies, as well as they played versus Stetson and Northwestern, did not shoot well from the three-point line. Now, it may not matter if UConn’s defense steps it up, but what happens if SDSU’s D matches the Huskies’?

By bad from the three-point line, FYI, we mean 37.5% versus Stetson, not horrible but mediocre, and an unbelievably awful 13.6% versus Northwestern.

Connecticut faces a good team, one that can match their inside presence, which means if UConn doesn’t improve from behind the arc, they won’t just fail to cover against the Aztecs, they will lose straight up. Taking the 10 points makes sense.

UConn vs. San Diego State
NCAAB ATS Pick: Connecticut San Diego State Aztecs +10 | Lines for College Basketball MyBookie Betting Lines for March Madness

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