Air Force vs. Michigan NCAAF Spread & Preview for Week 3

The Air Force Falcons will look to cover the NCAAF spread as huge road underdogs against No. 7 Michigan when they hit the road to take on the Wolverines in an intriguing Week 3 matchup on Saturday. While the Falcons are only 1-0 this season and had Week 2 off, they also have the look of a ‘dangerous’ opponent that could give Jim Harbaugh’s title-hopeful team a tough way to go throughout their Week 3 matchup. Now, let’s find out if the Falcons have what it takes to at least, cover the college football spread or if the Wolverines are the right pick to cash in.

Air Force vs. Michigan NCAAF Spread & Preview for Week 3

When: Saturday, September 16, 2017 AT 12:00 PM ET Where: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, Michigan TV: BTN Live Stream: BTN2GO NCAAF Spread: Michigan -26

Why Bet the Air Force Falcons Odds at +26?

The Air Force Falcons almost literally ran the ball down the throats of VMI in their 62-0 shutout win in their regular season opener two weeks ago. The Falcons ran for a whopping 457 yards and seven touchdowns in the win with at least eight runners rushing for at least 32 yards. Quarterback Arion Worthman completed a modest 8 of 12 passes for 172 yards but tossed two touchdown passes while rushing for another score and the “Glad we were able to give them a good show today,” Worthman said. Therefore, the Falcons improved to a perfect 11-0 in regular season openers under head coach Troy Calhoun, winning those openers by an average of 37.5 points. For the season, Worthman is completing a stellar 66.7 percent of his passes for 172 yards, with two touchdowns and zero interceptions while running the Falcons’ triple option offense seamlessly. Defensively, Air Force limited VMI to a minuscule 40 passing yards in the win. Jack Flor leads the Falcons with eight tackles while Santo Coppola has recorded one sack and Jacob Stafford, one interception.

Team Statistics

• Offensive total yards 647.00
• Current Offensive rush yards 457.00
• Offensive passing yards 190.00
• Average Score For 62.00
• Defensive total yards 95.00
• Current Defensive rush yards 55.00
• Defensive passing yards 40.00
• Average Score Against 0.00

Florida Tops Tennessee as College Football Week 3 Betting Favorite

Why Bet the Michigan Wolverines Odds at -26?

No. 7 Michigan used another solid effort from their defense and some heavy rushing to get past Cincinnati 36-14 in Week 2 after overpowering No. 24 Florida in their 33-17 Week 1 win. Moreover, running back Ty Isaac ran for a career-high 133 yards to help the Wolverines pull away after they struggled for three quarters. “We had the feeling coming out of this game that we stopped ourselves,” head coach Jim Harbaugh said afterward. Starting quarterback Wilton Speight played a bit better than he did in Week 1, but not by much as he completed a modest 17 of 29 passes for 221 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions. For the season, Speight is completing an uninspiring 51.9 percent of his passes for 402 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. “I get a little sloppy with my feet, which causes my ball to sail or to go low,” Speight said. Defensively, Michigan limited the Bearcats to just 68 rushing yards and is allowing just 15.5 points per game.

Team Statistics

• Offensive total yards 423.50
• Current Offensive rush yards 204.00
• Offensive passing yards 219.50
• Average Score For 34.50
• Defensive total yards 196.00
• Current Defensive rush yards 39.50
• Defensive passing yards 156.50
• Average Score Against 15.50

Latest Betting Trends

• Air Force is 4-2 ATS in thelast 6 games
• Air Force is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
• The total went OVER in 4 of Air Force’s last 5 games
• Michigan is 2-4 ATS in the last 6 games
• Michigan is 13-3 SU in the last 16 games
• The total went OVER in 18 of Michigan’s last 23 games

Expert NCAAF Spread Pick and Prediction

While Air Force has only played one game this season, there’s a reason why they’re a ‘dangerous’ opponent against anyone. Going back to last season, the Falcons have won seven straight games while scoring at least 31 points or more in six of those contests while scoring 41 points or more four times, including both of their games this season. On the other hand, the Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, 12-5 ATS in their L/17 games against a team with a winning record and a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in the month of September. While Michigan has gone 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September, the Wolverines are also just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams from the Mountain West Conference. I like Air Force to narrowly cover the spread by controlling the clock and keeping the final score respectable against a Michigan team that has a issue at quarterback if you ask me. NCAAF Spread Pick: Air Force +26