NCAA Football: Indiana Hoosiers at Iowa Betting Analysis

NCAA Football: Indiana Hoosiers at Iowa Betting Analysis

Two of the top teams in the Big Ten open the season against each other when the #17 Indiana Hoosiers head to Kinnick Stadium to take on the #18 Iowa Hawkeyes. Both the Hoosiers and Hawkeyes believe they have what it takes to upset Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Penn State and win the Big Ten Championship. Their quest for the conference title starts on Saturday. Will Indiana or Iowa get the win and which team will cover the spread? Check out NCAAF odds, analysis, and a college football betting pick for Indiana versus Iowa. 

Indiana vs Iowa: College Football Betting Preview

#17 Indiana Hoosiers at #18 Iowa Hawkeyes

Why bet on the Indiana Hoosiers?

Few quarterbacks this season should be as effective as Heisman Trophy contender Michael Penix Jr. The Indiana star signal-caller missed the final two games last season due to a torn ACL. All systems are go for this contest. Penix Jr. is talented enough to take over the game. He’ll be the difference. 

Indiana Last 5

  • L – 26-20 vs. Ole Miss
  • W – 14-6 at Wisconsin
  • W – 27-11 vs. Maryland
  • L – 42-35 at Ohio State 
  • W – 24-0 at Michigan State

Indiana Predicted Starting Offense

  • WR – Miles Marshall
  • WR – Ty Fryfogle
  • WR – D.J. Matthews Jr.
  • LT – Caleb Jones
  • LG – Mike Katic
  • OC – Zach Carpenter
  • RG – Dylan Powell
  • RT – Matthew Bedford
  • TE – Peyton Hendershot
  • QB – Michael Penix Jr.
  • RB – Stephen Carr

Why bet on the Iowa Hawkeyes?

Indiana’s quarterback, no doubt, is a good player. But Iowa returns all four starters in their secondary. The Hawkeyes have the ability to shut down Indiana’s passing attack. If that happens, Penix Jr. and the Hoosiers could be in some trouble. Not only that, but Iowa is difficult to beat in Kinnick Stadium.

Iowa Last 5

  • W – 28-7 vs. Wisconsin
  • W – 35-21 at Illinois
  • W – 26-20 vs. Nebraska
  • W – 41-21 at Penn State
  • W – 35-7 at Minnesota

Iowa Predicted Starting Offense

  • WR – Tyrone Tracy Jr.
  • WR – Nico Ragaini
  • LT – Jack Plumb
  • LG – Cody Ince
  • OC – Tyler Linderbaum
  • RG – Justin Britt
  • RT – Nick DeJong
  • TE – Sam LaPorta
  • QB – Spencer Petras
  • RB – Tyler Goodson
  • FB – Monte Pottebaum, Jr.

Final Betting Analysis

We shouldn’t discount Iowa’s homefield advantage. The Hawkeyes have a big edge because for the first time since 2019, Kinnick Stadium should be at capacity.  

Hawkeye fans are as rabid as any group of fans in the Big Ten. Not only that, but Kirk Ferentz will ensure his team makes few mistakes and steps it up when required.

But even though Iowa has all the advantages, they don’t have Michael Penix Jr. The Indiana quarterback not only can pass the ball, but he can also run with it. 

Penix Jr.’s dual ability will put Iowa on their heels. The Hawkeyes’ defensive backs will have to cheat and move up as the game progresses. Eventually, Penix Jr. will notice the cheating and burn Iowa for a big score. 

The Indiana moneyline is the play. The Hoosiers feel they’re a contender to upset Michigan, Ohio State, and Penn State in the Big Ten East. Doing so means winning road games versus teams like the Hawkeyes. 

NCAAF Prediction: Indiana moneyline


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