#10 Oregon vs. #17 Utah Odds and Prediction Game

#10 Oregon vs. #17 Utah Odds and Prediction Game | Pac-12 Championship Game

A spot in the Rose Bowl is on the line Friday night in the Pac-12 Championship Game when No. 10 Oregon looks for payback vs. No. 17 Utah from Las Vegas. The Utes are short favorites on the NCAAF odds.

How to Bet Oregon vs. Utah NCAA Football Odds & TV Info

  • When: Friday, 8 PM ET
  • Where: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas
  • TV: ABC
  • Stream: ESPN app
  • Radio: Tunein.com
  • Opening NCAAF Lines: Utah -2.5 (total 58)

Last Meeting

On Nov. 20 at Utah, the Utes blasted the Ducks 38-7 to end Oregon’s College Football Playoff hopes. Utah scored 14 points in the final 27 seconds before halftime to take a four-touchdown lead. Britain Covey returned a punt 78 yards for a touchdown on the final play of the first half. Tavion Thomas ran for 94 yards and three touchdowns. Utah converted 11 of 14 third downs and finished with 386 total yards. Anthony Brown threw for 231 yards and a touchdown for Oregon, which rushed for only 63 yards and had 294 yards of offense.

Why Bet on Oregon?

Oregon (10-2) won the Pac-12 North with a 38-29 home win over Oregon State last Saturday. UO quarterback Anthony Brown accounted for three touchdowns, helping the Ducks to a 24-3 halftime lead that forced the Beavers out of their comfort zone offensively. Brown finished the day with 358 yards of total offense, having completed 23-of-28 passes for 275 yards while rushing for another 83 yards.

Oregon State came into the game as the Pac-12’s best rushing team at 229.4 yards per game, and having allowed 24 total points in their previous two games. The Ducks matched that 24 points by halftime Saturday and held OSU’s rushing attack under 100 yards for just the second time this season, as Oregon won for the 12th time in the last 14 games against the Beavers.

The Ducks scored 30-plus points for the eighth time this season, and third straight at home. They rushed for 231 yards on 41 attempts, improving to 18-1 under Mario Cristobal when going for at least 200 yards on the ground. Oregon converted on 10-of-13 third down attempts and is 47-for-74 (63.5%) on third down over the last six games.  Oregon is No. 4 in the FBS with a 52.9 third-down conversion percentage overall.

Travis Dye surpassed 1,000 rushing yards on the season while going for 99 yards and two touchdowns. Dye is tied for No. 2 in the Pac-12 with 16 total touchdowns, including 13 in the last seven games. Dye has 14 rushing TDs

The Ducks beat the Utes in the 2019 conference title game and beat USC to win the 2020 Pac-12 crown. Oregon is the first team in the league to reach three straight championship games. UO is making its Pac-12-leading fifth appearance in the conference championship game since it was added in 2011. Oregon is 4-0 all-time in the Pac-12 Championship Game.

Why Bet on Utah?

Utah (9-3) closed the regular season with a 28-13 win over Colorado. It was defensive domination from start to finish for the Utes, holding Colorado to just 148 yards of total offense and nine first downs. Utah held the Buffaloes to 64 yards rushing, the sixth time this season the Utes have held their opponent under 100 yards rushing, also holding Colorado to just 84 passing yards.

Offensively, Utah wrapped up the game with 265 rushing yards and had two 100-yard rushers, the second time the Utes have had multiple 100-yard rushers in a game this season. Tavion Thomas led Utah with 142 yards on 25 carries (5.7 ypc) and a touchdown while TJ Pledger added 13 rushes for 103 yards (7.9 ypc).  QB Cam Rising tied his career high in touchdown passes, finishing with three on 14-of-23 passing for 179 yards.

Utah has led at halftime in six straight games and now nine this season. The Utes are 8-1 when leading at the half, with Oregon State (Oct. 23) the only loss. Utah won its 700th game in football program history, dating back to the founding of the program in 1892.

Utah has averaged 218.2 rushing yards per game in the last six games, while holding opponents to just 119.5 yards on the ground.  Utah is one of six Power Five programs (only Pac-12 team) that is ranked in the top 30 in the FBS in scoring offense and scoring defense. In Pac-12 games only, Utah leads the conference in scoring offense (37.2), touchdowns scored (45), total offense per game (454.89), rushing offense (240.78) and passing efficiency (145.7).

Utah has won a share of the Pac-12 South title in three of the last four seasons, and four times overall (2015, 2018, 2019, 2021). The Utes are 0-2 in Pac-12 title games.

Game Trends

  • Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
  • Utes are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Utes are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win.
  • Utes are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 conference games.
  • Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

Expert Prediction

  • Utah 31, Oregon 28

 

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