Each and every season, some NFL team rises up and surpasses everyone’s expectations, and often times, even their own. On the flip side of the coin, there are also a few teams that fail to live up to expectations, often times, in embarrassing fashion. With the NFL win total odds out for the 2021 regular season, it’s time to identify five teams that all look like they are going to come up short of topping their respective Over/Under totals. Let’s jump right into action so you can plan your bets against their NFL Win Totals.
NFL Betting Odds Analysis – The Top 5 Picks To Fall Short of Their 2021 Win Total Odds
NY Jets 6
The Jets have a new (and unproven) head coach in Robert Saleh, and a new (and again unproven) starting quarterback in Zach Wilson and first-time offensive coordinator in Mike LaFleur. Add it all up and it’s recipe for disaster. The Jets open at Carolina against former starter Sam Darnold, before taking on New England, Denver, Tennessee, Atlanta and New England again. New York then faces Cincinnati, Indianapolis, Buffalo, Miami, Houston, Philly, New Orleans and Miami again. The Jets finish against Jacksonville, Tampa Bay and Buffalo. Maybe it’s me, but I’m stunned the jets have a win total of six. New York won’t top that total MyBookie NFL betting faithful. Book it.
LA Chargers 9
While I love young quarterback Justin Herbert and the future that lies in front of him, I don’t think the LA Chargers are getting to 10 wins in 2021. The Bolts open with three difficult games at Washington, at home against Dallas and at Kansas City. Things don’t get much easier with the Raiders, Browns, Ravens and Patriots up next. A road date at Philly looks winnable, but then the Bolts face Minnesota and Pittsburgh before three more winnable games against the Broncos, Bengals and Giants. The Chargers close out with games against the Chiefs, Texans, Broncos and Raiders. I like LA’s draft additions of tackle Rashawn Slater at No. 13 and cornerback Asante Samuel, but the Bolts look closer to an eight-win team than a 10-win one.
Cleveland Browns 10
I’ve got the Browns beating Houston, Chicago, the LA Chargers, Arizona, Denver, New England and Detroit while splitting with Pittsburgh and Cincinnati. That generous nine-win prediction does not take into account the fact that the Browns could definitely lose against the Chargers, Cardinals and Broncos and it’s easy to see why I’ve got Cleveland coming up short of reaching 11 victories. I love the addition of defensive end Jadeveon Clowney, but I’m not overly impressed with Cleveland’s draft or free agency.
Indianapolis Colts 10
Indianapolis has recorded two double-digit winning seasons in three years under Frank Reich including last year’s 11-5 mark. The Colts have a seriously gifted running back in Jonathan Taylor that I think is going to set the league on fire in 2021. Indy also has plenty of talent on the defensive side of the ball and one of the best offensive lines in the league. The bad news is that the Colts are counting on former eagles quarterback Carson Wentz to revert back to the MVP-caliber performer he was several seasons ago and not the pitiful signal-caller we saw a year ago. I’ve gone up and down Indy’s 2021 schedule and I just can’t find any ‘sure-fire’ wins. I love Reich, but 1 wins in 2021, look difficult to identify.
Green Bay Packers 11
The Packers will smack Detroit senseless twice in 2021 while splitting with Chicago and Minnesota to get to four wins. Green Bay will also get past Cincinnati, but could lose to all three other AFC North teams (Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Cleveland) and they could suffer losses against all four NFC West teams (LA Rams. Seattle, San Francisco and Arizona). Aaron Rodgers is not happy and I believe that is going to throw a wrench into Green Bay’s Super Bowl hopes. No way do the Packers win 12 games in 2021.