Super Bowl LV Betting Tips & Expert Analysis - NFL Betting

Super Bowl LV Betting Tips & Expert Analysis – NFL Betting

Written by on January 25, 2021

Super Bowl 55 is set, with the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers set to lock horns on February 7 in Tampa. Yes, this will be the first time in history that a team will get to play for a championship in their own building. Location aside, this is familiar territory for Tom Brady, as this will be his 10th appearance in the Super Bowl, although Patrick Mahomes has started his career in Kansas City looking as though he is going after all the records that Brady has nabbed during his time in the league. The Conference Championship Games are still fresh in our memory, but it’s time to start looking ahead to the big game, which means taking a look at the early Super Bowl odds. These might change over the next couple of weeks, which could have an impact on the tips here, so pay attention to that before you play.

NFL Betting Analysis & Tips for Super Bowl LV

Super Bowl 55 SU

It’s rather odd to see a Tom Brady led team in the Super Bowl as the underdog, but that is exactly where we are right now. The Buccaneers are currently sitting at +140, while the Kansas City Chiefs are in at -170. The Chiefs went 14-2 this season and would likely have had one more win had they not rested all of their star players in the final week of the season. Perhaps more importantly, they were a perfect 8-0 when playing away from home, so being forced to play what is essentially a true road game is not going to phase them at all. Similarly, the Bucs have been better on the road, going 9-2, including 3 playoff road wins. At home, they were 5-3 on the season, so perhaps not much of an advantage here. I like the Chiefs to win SU.

Super Bowl ATS

For all their wins this season, the Chiefs have not been a great pick against the spread, going just 1-8-1 in their last 10 games. They did, though, cover in the AFC Championship Game, winning by 14 points in a game that they started as a 3-point underdog. They are in as a 3 ½ point favorite for the Super Bowl and if you look at their last 3 games where the spread was in that range, they went 1-1-1. The Buccaneers have come to life over the past couple of months and that has shown in their performance against the spread, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5. They have covered in 2 of their 4 playoff games this season, all of which were on the road. They went 5-3 ATS at home. I am still with the Chiefs here, although this does make me a little nervous.

Super Bowl O/U

You look at the two QBs in this game and you automatically think of the OVER, but that 56 ½ is a pretty big number. The last two Super Bowl’s have gone UNDER the point total, but if you look at the last 10, you see that it is 6-4 O/U. Head to head matchups between these teams doesn’t really help, as the last 6 have been split at 3-3 O/U. The Bucs have trended more towards the OVER this season, mostly because of their scoring in the last 6 weeks, but right now, I am on the UNDER. That could change, though, closer to game time.


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