Since 2020, NFL fans and bettors alike have a great opportunity, given the expanded playoff format. For the past two seasons, some 14 teams qualified for the postseason, with 12 participating on Wild Card Weekend. Just two teams, AFC regular season titleholder Kansas City and NFC winner Philadelphia will sit this weekend out and await their opponent.
On the menu this weekend are two games Saturday, three on Sunday, and a single game to close out the festivities Monday night. Three of the games are relatively close in the markets with a three-point or less spread; one game is at 6.5, while two games have spreads over 10 points at the present time.
The formula for postseason success isn’t always as simple as a home-field advantage or regular season results; there can often be some intangibles in play the propel some squads while hampering others. In this NFL Playoffs Betting piece, we will take a look at two games, one game with a close spread and another with a larger projected differential.
2024 Wild Card Weekend Betting Opportunities for the Rapidly Approaching Postseason Games | MyBookie Playoff Betting Preview
2023 NFL Season | 104th season of the National Football League
Sunday, January 13 – Sunday, February 11, 2024
Jags and Bolts
Coming off a 2021 season that saw them go 3-14 and finish dead last in the AFC South, the Jacksonville Jaguars, winners of just one game in 2020, appear in the playoffs as divisional winners. By virtue of that, they’ll get a home game, facing off with the LA Chargers.
The Jags last made the playoffs in 2017, but the person in its organization with the most playoff experience is coach Doug Pederson, who led Philadelphia to the Super Bowl title that same year. Pederson is in his first year with Jacksonville but has built on his reputation as a develop of quarterbacks, molding fellow top pick Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguar offense to new heights.
Expect there to be a ton of hype and energy surrounding the game in Jacksonville. Jaguars are 4-1 against the number in their last 5, going 5-0 SU in the process. While their overall record (9-7) isn’t great, there are few teams entering the playoffs with more momentum.
Chargers are no slouch, winning four of their last 5 SU and going 3-1-1 ATS. In a spot like this, we give the edge to Jacksonville because of the home field as well as the coaching.
Bills and Phins
Many would dispute the fact that the Bills are the NFL’s team of destiny following the on-field cardiac arrest of defensive back Damar Hamlin in Week 17. The entire league is behind Buffalo now, and it seems like when the Bills took the field following Hamlin’s situation, a home contest versus a New England squad that had to win to get in, only one team was meant to win the game.
Neither team is particularly solid against the spread. Coaching edge here coach to Sean McDermott of Buffalo over Miami’s first-year leader Mike McDaniel. Miami, who started the season looking like a team poised for a deep playoff run, has been felled by injuries, most notably its quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who is not expected to be under center Sunday.
This season, Bills have been favored by a touchdown or more on 11 occasions and are 4-6-1 in those games. Miami, on the other hand, have been road underdogs 5 times and are 3-2 ATS in those games.
This is a tough spot since it is almost a certainty, barring unforeseen circumstances, that the Bills advance. While 10.5 is a ton of points to lay, without Tua and in cold weather facing a crowd that will be likely going bananas, we feel as those the Bills are the correct side here.
Bet NFL Wild Card Weekend
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game