The 2020 Tokyo Olympics Men’s Soccer Tournament Semi-finals are set. On Tuesday, August 3, Mexico takes on Brazil in the first match. A couple of hours later, host Japan battles the team many expect to win soccer gold, Spain. Will Mexico or Brazil march to the finals? Can the hosts pull off an amazing upset victory? Check out Olympics Betting odds, analysis, and free picks for Mexico versus Brazil and Japan against Spain.
2020 Tokyo Olympics – Last Minute Men’s Soccer Semi-final Matches Betting Analysis
Brazil (+117) Vs Mexico (+230)
- When: Tuesday, August 3
While Brazil was supposed to make it this far, Mexico is somewhat of a surprise. No doubt, the Mexican side has talent, but unlike the other top four, El Tri heads into the semis after having played their best match during the tournament.
After beating France 4-1, Mexico fell to Japan. The Mexicans bounced back with a 3-0 victory against South Africa. But although impressive, the win doesn’t compare to what Mexico did to South Korea in the quarterfinals.
The South Koreans headed into the quarters after blasting Honduras 6-0. All Mexico did was score 6 goals against the Republic of Korea on their way to a 6-3 victory.
Impressive? Absolutely, but it also tells us something about El Tri that could hurt them versus Brazil. Mexico allowed 3 goals. No doubt, the Mexicans were happy to play in an up and down game.
What will happen when Mexico must shift gears and play European style soccer? Egypt tried those tactics against Brazil. The Brazilians controlled possession 63% to 37%, bided their time, and then leaned on a single goal in in the 37th minute to advance.
That’s the thing about Brazil. If you want to go full throttle, they can do that, Brazil beat Germany 4-2 in their first Olympic match. But if you want to slow things down, Brazil can also play that way.
The Brazilians are poised to defend their 2016 Rio gold medal victory. El Tri’s Olympic run should end in this match.
Soccer Pick: Brazil
Spain Vs Japan
The Japanese have had a magical Olympic Men’s Soccer Tournament run. Before facing New Zealand in the quarterfinals, Japan had beaten South Africa 1-0, Mexico 2-1, and France 4-0. Japan showed guts in the 4-2 penalty kicks victory over New Zealand in the quarters.
But although Japan has played like a team possessed, on Tuesday, they face a squad that’s just better than they are. Spain entered the Olympic Tournament one of the favorites to win gold.
Although Spain seemed to struggle during the group stage, they scored a single victory with a couple of draws, the Spanish put it all together in their 5-2 quarterfinals win against the Ivory Coast.
Now with momentum, expect Spain to end the host squad’s dream of winning this tournament. Spain should beat Japan by at least 2 goals. So once MyBookie sets handicap odds, consider backing the Spanish to cover.
Soccer Pick: Spain
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