The two best international women’s hoops teams clash on Saturday night for an Olympic gold medal when the United States takes on host Japan. During these Olympics, the Japanese and the Americans have left no question. They’re easily the two best women’s teams in the world. But does Japan have any chance versus the strong U.S. side? Or will the United States dominate from beginning to end and deny the home side a gold medal? Check out info, analysis, and a free pick for Japan versus the United States so you can place your bets against their Olympics Betting odds.

Olympics Basketball Women’s Gold Medal Game

USA vs Japan Match Info

• When: Saturday, August 7 at 10:30 pm ET
• Where: Tokyo, Japan
• TV / Streaming: NBC / Peacock

Why bet on Japan versus the United States

The Japanese had a tough time against the USA in their second game, but since then, they’ve rolled. The 102-83 victory over Nigeria was a great bounce back performance. Belgium tested the Japanese and they responded with a fantastic 1-point victory. In the rematch with France in the semifinals, Japan showed why they’re dangerous. The host squad beat France by 4 points in the fist contest. They learned in the second contest. How else to explain the 16 point victory?

Japan Last 5

• W – 87-71 vs. France
• W – 86-85 vs. Belgium
• W – 102-83 vs. Nigeria
• L – 86-69 vs. USA
• W – 74-70 vs. France

Japan Predicted Starting Lineup

• Y. Miyazawa
• M. Takada
• S. Hayashi
• H. Akaho
• R. Machida

Why bet on the United States versus Japan

The United States is loaded in every way imaginable. Not only has USA dominated, but they’ve dominated on the defensive end. The win over Serbia to notch a trip to the gold medal match proves it. Team USA held Serbia to 30.3% from the field and 21.1% from three. We know the Americans can score. If their defense continues to lock down like it did versus Australia and Serbia, Japan has no shot. 

USA Last 5

• W – 79-59 vs. Serbia
• W – 79-55 vs. Australia 
• W – 93-82 vs. France
• W – 86-69 vs. Japan
• W – 81-72 vs. Nigeria

USA Predicted Starting Lineup

• A. Wilson
• B. Stewart
• B. Griner
• S. Bird
• D. Taurasi

Olympic Women’s Basketball Gold Medal Game – Final Prediction

The Japanese are a good basketball team, but they’re going to have to pick it up big time versus Brittney Griner, Breanna Stewart, Sue Bird, Aja Wilson, and Diana Taurisi. Oh, and those are just the United State’s starters. 

In the first head-to-head, the Americans dominated. The U.S. held Japan to 34.6% from the field and 26.3% from three. Japan went 10-of-38 from the three point line. The host team went 27-of-78 from the field.

The Japanese struggled when the United States had yet to gel on the defensive end. Since a 93-82 victory against France, Team USA has played flawless defense. The D the Americans displayed in wins against Australia and Serbia were downright awe-inspiring.

Don’t expect the Americans to fall apart in the gold medal match. Japan has played great to get to this point, but the United States should win another Olympic Women’s Basketball game by 20 points or more, meaning if the spread is less than 20, back the U.S. against the spread.  

Basketball Pick: USA

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