Updated odds to grab the yellow jersey at the 2022 Tour de France suggests Tadej Pogacar wins a third straight title but he isn’t a lock. Pogacar is now a -160 choice when just two weeks ago he was at -165. Primoz Roglic and Jonas Vingegaard offer +330 and +375 odds. The rest of the field is at +1800 or higher. Check out updated Tour de France odds and an odds analysis.
2022 Tour de France: Tadej Pogacar with Best Opening Betting Odds
2022 Tour de France
When: July 1 – July 24
Where: Denmark & France
TV/Streaming: NBC Sports / Peacock
2022 Tour de France Opening Odds
- Tadej Pogacar -160
- Primoz Roglic +330
- Jonas Vingegaard +375
- Alexander Vlasov +1800
- Daniel Martinez +2000
- Geraint Thomas +2800
- Adam Yates +4000
- Enric Mas Nicolau +4000
- Ben O’Conner +4000
- Romain Bardet +6600
- Wout Van Aert +6600
- Jack Haig +6600
- Jakob Fuglsang +6600
Is Tadej Pogacar an Underlay or Overlay?
In the past couple of Tour de France races, Tadej Pogacar has dominated. He won the General Classification, the yellow jersey, in 2020 and 2021.
He won six individual stages in 2020 and last year. He won the Mountain Classification and the Young Rider Classification.
In every way imaginable, Pogacar has shown he’s the best cyclist in the world. This year, he won the Strade Bianche and the Tirreno-Adriatico.
Pogacar didn’t race in any of the other majors. So he’ll be fresh for the Tour. -160 aren’t great odds, but Pogacar is as solid of an under even money play as you’re going to find. The odds make Tadej an overlay.
Which Cyclist Between Primoz Roglic and Jonas Vingegaard has the Best Shot of Beating Pogacar?
Primoz Roglic was one of the favorites to win the 2021 Tour de France. But Roglic crashed early and had to withdraw.
Because Roglic retired, fellow Jumbo-Visma teammate Jonas Vingegaard picked up the slack. Vingegaard finished second behind Pogacar.
But this year, Roglic is back. He’s rode great, winning the Criterium du Dauphine and in Paris-Nice. If Roglic is at his best, and if he stays out of trouble this year, he will have a real shot of beating Pogacar. Give Primoz the nod over Jonas.
Among Vaslov, Martinez, and Thomas, Which Cyclist Offers the Most Overlay Odds to Wear the Yellow Jersey?
Thomas’ form has fallen off this year. He finished nineteenth at the Tour de Romandie, a race he won last year, and thirty-ninth at the Tour of the Basque Country.
Vlasov has rode well this year, winning the Tour de Romandie and finishing third at the Tour of the Basque Country. But Vlasov offers lower odds than Martinez, and Daniel has rode as well as Vlasov in 2022.
Daniel Martinez won the Tour of the Basque Country. He finished third at Paris-Nice. If you’re looking to back one of the three, Martinez is the best play.
Name the Longshot with the Best Chance of Pulling Off a Tour de France Upset Win
Ben O’Conner hasn’t had the best year. O’Conner didn’t finish at Paris-Nice. He finished sixth at the Volta a Catalunya and fifth at the Tour de Romandie.
Those finishes could be by design. O’Conner wants to have something left for the Tour de France. He finished a surprising fourth at the 2021 Tour and he and his team, AG2R Citroen, believe he can win the yellow jersey this year.
O’Conner is worth a look if you’re a longshot player. If not stick with backing Roglic, Pogacar, or Vingegaard.
