Fly High or Fall Flat? A Deep Dive into the Eagles Props and NFL Odds for the Season

 

Previous Betting News

One of the stranger quirks in recent NFL history is seeing the team that lost in the Super Bowl struggle to even get back to the playoffs on the following season. 2024 MyBookie Sportsbook NFL Odds, American Football NFL Lines | Philadelphia Eagles Postseason Betting Analysis

There is a growing list of teams that have suffered that fate, proving that getting close to the summit once is zero guarantee of getting there again. It’s tough to understand why it happens, but just a few changes to a squad can make all the difference between being a Super Bowl challenger and a team that misses out on the postseason. The Philadelphia Eagles were able to avoid that fate this season, but you do have to say that their regular season performance was not to the level that most of us expected. They will enter the playoffs as the #5 seed in the NFC, but can they repeat their run from last year? Let’s take a closer look.

Regular Season Recap

The start of the season saw the Eagles pick up exactly where they left off last year, opening things up with an impressive 5-game win streak that ended with a surprise loss on the road to the New York Jets. They did not let that loss trouble them, though, as they went out and delivered another 5-game win streak, setting themselves up as the team to beat in the NFC. That, though, is where things changed.

That streak came to an end in dramatic fashion, with the Eagles losing 3 in a row, including defeats at the hands of the 49ers and Cowboys, a pair of teams that they may have to face if they get past the Wild Card Round this weekend. They snapped out of that funk with a win over the Giants, but then closed out the regular season with 2 straight losses, which is not the ideal way to be heading into the postseason.

Bet on the Eagles to Win in the Wild Card Game against Buccaneers

Stats, Trends, and Odds

When you look at the offensive stats, particularly for Jalen Hurts in the passing game, they are somewhat skewed. Hurts is a dual threat QB, so his passing numbers tend to be lower than other elite QBs. Still, he averaged 225 YPG through the air, with the ground game delivering 128 YPG, good for 8th overall. The Eagles were in the top 10 in points per game with a touch over 25, but they were down near the bottom in points allowed per game, also at 25. That defense needs to be better if they are to make another deep run.

Being the #5 seed means having to go on the road in the postseason, with the Eagles set to open up in Tampa. The Eagles were 5-4 away from home this season, but one of those wins came on the road versus the Buccaneers, so they are certainly going to like their chances of getting out of the Wild Card Round.

The odds for the Eagles to win the conference and the Super Bowl have lengthened over the course of the season, particularly in the second half. They are favored to win this weekend, but they are sitting at +750 to win the NFC and at +1600 to win the Super Bowl. If they can tighten things up on the defensive side of things, I would not entirely count the Eagles out.

Bet on the Eagles to Win in the Wild Card Game against Buccaneers

Odds to Win 2024 NFC Championship

I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?

Bet NFL Lines
MyBookie Odds for the Games

 

 

Previous Betting News

It likely will be a make-or-break 2022 season for Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts as if he remains inconsistent, the team has a lot of capital in the 2023 draft to find his replacement. Let’s break down the 2022 Eagles. Here is a preview of the game for your NFL Odds.

Odds to win Super Bowl: +3300
Odds to win NFC: +1400
Odds to win NFC East: +160
Over/under win total: 9.5

Philadelphia Eagles 2022 Season Preview

The Eagles were 3-6 at one point last regular season but finished 9-8 – and that was with tanking the regular-season finale at home vs. Dallas because the team rested starters ahead of its wild-card game at Tampa Bay. The Bucs won that easily, 31-15.

Tampa Bay set the tempo from the start, with Brady leading a pair of long TD drives in the opening quarter and building the lead to 17-0 by halftime. The Bucs defense intercepted Jalen Hurts twice in the Philadelphia quarterback’s playoff debut. Hurts finished his playoff debut 23 of 43 passing for 258 yards. He ran for a team-high 39 yards on eight attempts, with the Eagles finishing with 95 yards rushing overall — well below their season average of 159.7 per game.

Hurts did have good fantasy numbers but was rather inconsistent overall. Hurts went a middling 8-7 as a starter. He was an effective dual-threat quarterback but completed just 61.3 percent of his passes. He ranked 22nd in passer rating (87.2). Hurts led the team with 784 yards and 10 yards rushing, becoming the eighth quarterback in NFL history to throw for more than 3,000 yards and run for more than 750.

“I think there were games where I played at a really high-level last year, and then there were games where it wasn’t the same guy from the week before. Simply put, it’s consistency. I think being consistent will make things elite around here, it will make me elite, it will make this offense elite. And that’s on all levels, that’s on every position,” he said of last year.

If the Eagles can’t win now and if Hurts fails to improve in Year 3—his second season as a full-time starter—Philadelphia will likely seek alternatives. Hurts will be entering the final year of his rookie contract in 2023 and will be a prime candidate to serve as a one-year bridge to a rookie-to-be-drafted.

Philly’s biggest offseason move was trading a first-round pick for Titans wideout AJ Brown and then signed him to a big extension. Brown had 63 catches for 869 yards and five touchdowns in 13 games last season. He surpassed the 1,000-yard receiving mark in each of his first two seasons, including a 70-catch, 1,075-yard campaign in 2020 when he hauled in a career-best 11 TDs.

At running back Miles Sanders said he is out to get the respect he deserves. Last season, he had career-lows in carries, yards and failed to score a single touchdown. Second-year back Kenneth Gainwell figures to have a bigger role in the offense this season after scoring six touchdowns as a rookie. Gainwell was practicing with the first team at the start of training camp.

In Philadelphia, Brown will be paired alongside DeVonta Smith, last year’s 10th overall pick, to make what promises to be a formidable duo for Hurts. The Eagles also secured major upgrades to their defense with the signing of linebacker Hassan Reddick and the drafting of Georgia’s Jordan Davis in the first round and then Nakobe Dean in the third, who were both stars on the best defense in college football.

The Eagles struggled to get after quarterbacks last season – their 22.9% pressure rate ranked 29th and they ranked 31st in the NFL with just 29 sacks, matching the fewest they’ve ever had in a season since sacks became an official stat in 1982.

Reddick’s 23½ sacks over the last two seasons are 5th-most in the NFL. The Eagles haven’t had anybody with 12½ sacks in a season since Connor Barwin had 14½ in 2014, and they haven’t had anybody with double-digit sacks in consecutive seasons since Trent Cole from 2009 through 2011.

Philly opens the season in Detroit on Sept. 11 and is a 4-point favorite. That could be an upset.

Eagles 2022 Prediction

10-7, wild-card team again

I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?

Bet NFL Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the bout

 

 

Previous Betting News

The Philadelphia Eagles may have taken a slight step backwards in 2018 after winning Super Bowl 52 to cap off a thrilling 2017 campaign, but the NFC East Super Bowl hopefuls will enter the 2019 season with some high hopes of getting back to the big dance and nothing less.

Whether franchise signal-caller Carson Wentz can lift the Birds back to serious Super Bowl contention or whether Philly fails to live up to their postseason hopes remains to be seen, but either way, there are a bunch of things you need to know about the Birds before they take to the gridiron for th upcoming 2019 NFL regular season. let’s get started right now.

Philadelphia Eagles 2019 NFL Season Betting Guide

Betting Statistics

ATS: 9-7 (W-L) / 7-9-0 (ATS) / 3-5-0 (Home) / 4-4-0 (Away) / 6-7-0 (Grass) / 1-2-0 (Turf)
O/U: 7-9-0 (W-L) / 2-6-0 (Home) / 5-3-0 (Away) / 5-8-0 (Grass) / 2-1-0 (Turf) / 44.7 (Total)

The Eagles went a solid 9-7 and reached the playoffs for the second straight season under head coach Doug Pederson while upsetting NFC North champion Chicago in the wild card round before falling to New Orleans in a thriller in the divisional round. The Birds came up just short of reaching .500 against the spread (7-9 ATS) while posting an identical 7-9 mark against the Over/Under total and playing Over the total in five of their eight road dates.

The Eagles closed out the 2018 regular season ranked a middling 14th overall, an encouraging seventh in passing, and uninspiring 18th in points scored (22.9 ppg). Unfortunately, Philadelphia also finished a dismal 28th in rushing. To address their needs on the offensive side of the ball, Philadelphia drafted Washington State tackle Andre Dillard with the 22nd overall pick before adding Penn State wide receiver Miles Sanders and Stanford wide receiver J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, both in the second round.

The Eagles finished the 2018 campaign ranked an uninspiring 23rd overall, a pitiful 30th against the pass, an encouraging seventh against the run and a decent 12th in points allowed (21.8 ppg). To address their needs on the defensive side of the ball, the Eagles signed former Jaguars defensive tackle Malik Jackson, former Tampa Bay defensive end Vinny Curry and former Steelers linebacker L.J. Fort in free agency while re-signing cornerback Ronald Darby and safety Andrew Sendejo.

Last season, tight end Zach Ertz led the team in touchdowns scored and receiving yards while running back Josh Adams led the team in rushing with a modest 511 yards in 14 games. Quarterback Carson Wentz passed for a team-high 3,074 yards despite dealing with injuries that caused him to miss five games, including their playoff run for the second straight postseason. Still, the talented Wentz completed a blistering 69.6 percent of his passes while tossing 21 TD passes and just seven interceptions. Pro Bowl defensive tackle Fletcher Cox led the team in sacks with a career-high 10.5 while cornerback Rasul Douglas led the Birds in interceptions in his second season.

Outlook

Sure, the Eagles took a slight step backwards in 2018, but it wasn’t so big that anyone shouldn’t think they can contend again in 2019. I know the Birds parted ways with veteran quarterback Nick Foles, but lest anyone forget, Carson Wentz was playing at a league MVP level in 2017 before he went down with a season-ending ACL injury.

The Eagles have a pair of tough matchups against NFC East division rival Dallas and four other tough division matchups against Washington and New York. Philly also has some challenging non-division matchups against Atlanta, Green Bay, Minnesota, Chicago, New England and Seattle, I think it’s quite reasonable to bank on the Birds to reach the double-digit win mark in 2019 while challenging to make a deep run in the playoffs. I’m also expecting Carson Wentz to have a huge season and if he does, the sky’s the limit for Philadelphia.

 

 

Previous Betting News

It was a fantastic 2017 football-wise in the city of Philadelphia. It hosted the NFL Draft and it was a spectacle unlike anything we have ever seen. And their Philadelphia Eagles are back in the playoffs for the first time since 2013 and are the NFC’s top seed. Is this the year Philly wins its first Super Bowl? They are currently one of the top Super Bowl betting odds favorites.

Philadelphia Eagles 2018 Postseason Betting Analysis

Odds to win NFC: +250
Odds to win Super Bowl LII: +750

Home-Field Advantage Never Hurts

The Eagles’ divisional playoff game will be played on January 13 at 4:35 ET. They’ll face either the sixth-seeded Falcons or the winner of the No. 4-5 matchup between the Saints and Panthers. Next week’s game will be the Eagles’ first playoff game since losing at home to the Saints on Jan. 4, 2014, in the wild-card round, 26-24. The Eagles haven’t won a home playoff game since following the 2006 season.

The Eagles were 7-0 at home in games that counted this year – they lost their season finale 6-0 to Dallas but had nothing to play for with the NFC’s top seed already clinched. Excluding that game, the Eagles are 14-2 over the last two seasons at home since head coach Doug Pederson took over. They have played some of their best football at Lincoln Financial Field, with some of their biggest wins both this season and last season coming at home.

Plus, three of the other five teams in the NFC playoffs play in a dome (and the other two play in warm-weather states) and the Eagles’ home-field advantage is a big deal heading into the postseason.

Yeah, But No Wentz

The Eagles were clear-cut NFC betting favorites and had even passed the New England Patriots as Super Bowl favorites – but then superstar quarterback Carson Wentz, who was the NFL MVP favorite, tore his ACL in a Week 14 loss at the Rams. This season, Wentz completed 60 percent of his passes for 253.5 yards per game, producing a 101.9 passer rating. Despite missing the final three games, Wentz finished just one touchdown pass behind Russell Wilson for the most in football.

Could Wentz still win the NFL MVP? Not likely but not impossible. Joe Montana won the award in 1989 despite missing three games. Like Wentz, he went 11-2 as a starter. Montana led the league in completion rate (70 percent), threw 26 touchdowns to eight interceptions, and established a new record for quarterback rating (112.4).

How Has the Offense Been Recently?

The Philly offense has not been the same behind Nick Foles. In his first game, he had a four-touchdown performance at the New York Giants, only to stumble in the final game-plus against the Oakland Raiders and Dallas Cowboys. Overall, Foles has completed 59 percent of his passes for 200 yards per game and an 88.1 rating. With Wentz, the Eagles scored 2.4 points per drive but just 1.8 per drive with Foles.

Coach Doug Pederson made some waves when he left open the door to benching Foles in the playoffs, saying, “If you’re in desperation mode, who knows?” Pederson quickly clarified himself after the press conference, however. Nate Sudfeld is the only other quarterback on the roster.

What Foles does have on Wentz, however, is that he has played in the postseason before — and played well. He was the starter in 2013 vs. the Saints and went 23-of-33 for 195 yards with two touchdowns and put the Eagles up late in that game with a TD toss to Zach Ertz, only to see Drew Brees move the Saints down the field for a game-winning field goal.

“I’ve had time to sort of reflect, thinking about me then, playing in that game, what that season was like, playing in the playoff game, the atmosphere, the visualization of it all,” he said.

After a couple down performances, Pederson and the coaching staff used the bye week to look at old Foles film in order to properly tailor the current system to fit his strengths. That 2013 season was Foles’ finest, as he threw a remarkable 27 touchdowns to two interceptions.

Also look for more of an emphasis on the running game. The Eagles finished the season ranked third in rushing yards per game (132) but averaged 93 yards in the two full games Foles played in with an average of 3.9 yards per rush over that span compared to 4.5 over the entire season.

Eagles Can Win With Defense

If Philadelphia has to win a low-scoring game it still can. Even after allowing 129 yards in the meaningless vs. the Cowboys, the Eagles are still tops in the NFL against the run, allowing only 79.2 yards-per-game on the ground. The defense finished the season fourth in the NFL in points allowed, surrendering an average of just 18.4 points per game during the regular season.

The Eagles have 31 takeaways, good for fourth in the NFL, and have committed just 20 turnovers. The plus-11 turnover differential is fourth best in the NFL, and second best among the teams that qualified for the postseason.