2021 Outback Bowl Expert Analysis - NCAAF Betting

2021 Outback Bowl Expert Analysis – NCAAF Betting

Written by on January 1, 2021

While a lot of people are looking at New Year’s Day as being the best of bowl season, we have to say that Saturday doesn’t look too shabby. There are 4 games on the schedule and each of them looks to be very competitive. The Outback Bowl is one that features a pair of teams with rather contrasting styles. The Ole Miss Rebels, who are coached by Lane Kiffin, play an explosive style of offense that routinely sees them sucked into shootouts. The Hoosiers do not possess the same offensive talent, but they can shut teams down quite effectively. This is one of the more intriguing games of the weekend and it is Indiana who are favored by 8 ½. The point total for this one is set at 65. Let’s take a look at both teams so you can place your bets against their NCAAF odds.

2021 Outback Bowl – Ole Miss Rebels Vs Indiana Hoosiers

  • When: Saturday, January 2 at 12:30 PM EST
  • Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa
  • TV: ABC
  • NCAAF Odds: TBD

Why bet on the Ole Miss Rebels

As mentioned at the top of this piece, this is a team that is built from the offense up. They have averaged over 40 PPG this season, but as good as they are on offense, they still tend to have difficulty winning regularly because they are leaky on the defensive side of the ball. They finished the season well, winning 3 in a row before dropping their final game of the season to LSU in an absolute thriller. While they are 5-0 SU in their last 5 January games, they are just 1-16 SU in their last 17 games starting as an underdog. Over their last 6 games, the Rebels have gone 2-4 ATS. When playing away from home, the Rebels have seen 4 of their last 6 Saturday games go OVER.

Why bet on the Indiana Hoosiers

The Hoosiers had themselves a very good year, going 6-1 in what was a weird season in the Big Ten. Their lone loss on the season came at the hands of the Ohio State Buckeyes, a team heading to the playoffs. The Hoosiers hung tight in that one, eventually losing 42-35. In their final 3 wins of the season, the Hoosier defense came to play, giving up a combined 17 points in those 2 games. They are going to need that D in this game. Perhaps most impressive of all is that the Hoosiers covered the spread in all 7 games this season. It is also worth noting that they have won each of the last 11 games that they started as a favorite.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

All of the signs point towards the Hoosiers winning this one. The SU wager seems like the safe bet here, but if you want to take a shot, I might have a go at taking the Rebels to cover the spread.

Pick: Ole Miss Rebels 33 Indiana Hoosiers 39

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