NCAAF Week 11 Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview

NCAAF Week 11 : Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview

Written by on November 10, 2022

A pair of ranked SEC foes square off in Week 11 action of the NCAA Football season as the Alabama Crimson Tide (7-2) head to Oxford to play the Ole Miss Running Rebels (8-1).

Alabama has lost two regular season games for the first time since 2010, losing their second matchup in their last three contests after falling to LSU last week in overtime. Ole Miss also fell to LSU in Baton Rouge but bounced back last week to win 31-28 at Texas A&M.  Let’s see below the preview for your NCAAF bets.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Crimson Tide Struggles Continue

The Crimson Tide likely saw their College Football Playoff chances slip through the cracks last weekend when they fell to LSU 32-31. Alabama has struggled, losing two of their last three games while going 1-3 ATS over their last four contests.

The offense continues to roll in high-end talent, and Bryce Young has been particularly impressive with his ability to make things happen with both his arm and his legs.

The team, however, has struggled in pass protection, and they will need to find a way to run the ball effectively against Ole Miss’ 78th-ranked rushing defense. Overall, the offense ranks sixth in scoring, as they are averaging 41.8 points per contest. 

On defense, the Crimson Tide have a plethora of talent, including soon-to-be first-round pick Will Anderson Jr. Alabama has been impressive, accumulating the 13th-best defense allowing just 303.6 yards per game.

In addition to allowing just 18.3 points per game, the Tide are also ranked fifth nationally in third-down defense. 

Rebels Look to Hand Alabama Third Loss

Ole Miss has been dominant in running the football. The Rebels come into this matchup ranked third nationally, averaging 267.4 rushing yards on the ground.

Freshman back Quinshon Judkins has been an absolute menace leading the conference with 13 touchdowns on the ground. Overall, the offense comes in as the 11th-best offense in terms of yards, as they average a whopping 494.9.

The pass coverage and total defense rankings for Ole Miss’ defense are 45th and 42nd, respectively, with a higher pass rush ranking of 25th.

Both the edge-rushing tandem of Jared Ivey and Cedric Johnson and starting all-around linebacker Troy Brown, who has excelled in run defense, have made important contributions.

The Ole Miss defense isn’t the greatest Alabama has played so far, but it’s not far behind; if they’re at their best, they could contain Young and the Alabama attack to the point where this game could go either way.

Betting Lines & Odds 

According to Mybookie, Alabama is the betting favorite in this matchup, with the spread set at 12 points (-110).

In terms of the moneyline, Ole Miss is given +335 odds to win as home underdogs, while Alabama is given -450 odds to win on the road.

The Over/Under in this matchup is listed at 64.5 points.

Betting Pick

When it comes down to it, Nick Saben and Alabama have dominated Ole Miss. Lane Kiffin is 0-3 against Saben, and the reality is Ole Miss will face one of their biggest tests against a motivated Alabama squad. 

It’s difficult to trust Jaxson Dart’s arm against Bryce Young and Alabama in this game, which has all the makings of a shootout. Bryce Young showed his ability and why he was so talented last week as he was able to utilize his arm and his legs to get Alabama back in the game against LSU. Despite the loss, Alabama is still the total package on both offense and defense.

Nick Saben has dominated his former assistants, and the Crimson Tide dominated the Rebels in their last matchup. Twelve points, on the other hand, seems to be too much in this matchup, with the Rebels contending for an SEC Championship.

Lane Kiffin should find a way to keep his team in this matchup. For that reason, take the Rebels to keep this one within 12 points at home.

  • Prediction: Ole Miss +12 (-110)
 
 

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