2022 NCAA Football #1 Georgia vs Missouri Betting Analysis for Week 5

2022 NCAA Football #1 Georgia vs Missouri Betting Analysis for Week 5

Top ranked Georgia continues it’s march to the College Football Playoff on Saturday when the Bulldogs travel to Missouri to take on the Tigers. Georgia is a huge -28 road chalk to put a beating onto Mizzou. The 2022 Missouri Tigers are a better squad than the 2021 version. Will Missouri keep the game closer than the number? Or will UGA roll to a win and cover. Check out College Football Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Georgia at Missouri. 

Georgia Bulldogs at Missouri Odd Analysis | NCAAF Betting Predictions

NCAAF Week 5: 1# Georgia Bulldogs at Missouri Tigers 

  • When: Saturday, Oct. 2 at 7:30 pm ET 
  • Where: Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO  
  • TV / Streaming: SEC Net / ESPN+
  • ATS Odds: Georgia -28 
  • Over/Under Odds: 54.5  

Why bet on Georgia versus Missouri?

The defending champs haven’t disappointed. In 4 games, Georgia is averaging over 42 points per game while allowing less than 9 points. The Bulldogs do everything well. If you try to stop Georgia’s rush, quarterback Stetson Bennett will burn you. If you try to stop Bennett, the Dawgs run all day. At this point in the season, it’s difficult to find a flaw. 

Georgia Bulldogs Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 531.5
  • Passing Yards: 350.5
  • Rushing Yards: 181.0
  • Points Scored: 42.3
  • Turnovers: 2

Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 257.0
  • Passing Yards: 171.0
  • Rushing Yards: 86.0
  • Points Scored: 8.0
  • Takeaways: 6

Why bet on Missouri versus Georgia?

Missouri isn’t as good as Georgia. But the Tigers have a couple of advantages in this game. First, the contest happens on Mizzou’s field. Missouri should play better at home than they do on the road. Second, Missouri heads into this after an overtime loss to Auburn last week. Missouri has played decent football this season. They won’t come close to beating the Dawgs, but they can cover as a +28 home underdog. 

Missouri Tigers Tide Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 394.8
  • Passing Yards: 208.5
  • Rushing Yards: 186.3
  • Points Scored: 28.0
  • Turnovers: 3

Missouri Tigers Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 302.0
  • Passing Yards: 192.3
  • Rushing Yards: 109.8
  • Points Scored: 24.5
  • Takeaways: 4

Missouri Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs Relevant Trends

  • Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf
  • Georgia is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings
  • Under is 5-0-1 in the Bulldogs’ last 6 games
  • Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in October
  • Missouri is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games
  • Under is 6-1 in the Tigers’ last 7 games 

1-Georgia Bulldogs at Missouri Tigers Final Betting Prediction

Missouri has no shot of upsetting the Georgia Bulldogs. But the trends suggest Mizzou keeps this closer than the spread.

For starters, Missouri is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 SEC games. What this tells us is that the Tigers are almost always in a good position for the backdoor cover.

Not only that, but when we look at the head-to-head trends, Georgia tends to get a massive lead and then coast to a win. The Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. 

Mizzou won’t come close to challenging the Georgia Bulldogs. But 28 points is a lot. The most probable scenario is that Georgia goes up by 28 points and then Missouri scores a field goal or TD to bring the difference below the spread. Mizzou is the play. 

NCAAF Week 5 Pick: Missouri +28 


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