LSU Vs Texas A&M Expert Analysis - NCAAF Betting

LSU Vs Texas A&M Expert Analysis – NCAAF Betting

Written by on November 27, 2020

The fifth-ranked Texas A&M Aggies will look to give their College Football Playoff hopes a big boost when they host SEC rival LSU in their Week 13 clash on Saturday. With the Aggies taking to the field for the first time in three weeks and the Tigers looking for the huge upset, let’s find out where the best betting value lies in this Week 13 affair so you can make your bets against their NCAAF odds.

College Football Odds and Predictions – LSU at No. 5 Texas A&M

LSU Tigers (3-3) Vs Texas A&M Aggies (5-1)

  • When: Saturday, Nov. 28, 2020 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Kyle Field

Why Bet On LSU at +14.5

LSU comes into this affair fresh off a narrow 27-24 win over Arkansas last weekend as quarterback T.J. Finley passed for 271 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions while running back Tyrion Davis-Prince rushed for 104 yards and one score on 24 carries. Still, the Tigers needed a blocked field goal by freshman Eli Ricks on a potential game-tying 44-yard field goal on the final play of the game.

“It took everything we had to beat Arkansas, and we did it,” Tigers coach Ed Orgeron said. “Hopefully, it’s a springboard for us to have a great end to the season starting with Texas A&M.”

The defending national champs haven’t won consecutive games this season as they prepare to play their first nationally-ranked opponent. LSU played for the first time since Oct. 31.

“At some times we looked like an LSU football team,” Orgeron said. “We still have a ways to go, but we have some young players that are believing, and hopefully making the last play of the game gave our guys some relief and some confidence that they can fight through and win.”

Why Bet On No. 5 Texas A&M at -14.5

Texas A&M hasn’t taken the field since walloping South Carolina 48-3 on Nov. 7. Texas A&M couldn’t play at Tennessee two weeks ago or against Ole Miss last week because of COVID-19-related postponements. Now, the Aggies will look to pick up where they left off after winning four straight prior to their pair of cancellations the last two weeks.

“I think our guys are hungry,” Aggies coach Jimbo Fisher said. “They want to play, they miss playing. I think our kids are very resilient. We’ve handled all kinds of adversity because 2020 is an adversity year.”

The Aggies are ranked 37th in scoring (33.3 ppg) and 41st in points allowed (25.0 ppg). Texas A&M will also be looking for revenge after suffering an embarrassing 50-7 road loss against the Tigers last season in Joe Burrow’s final home game.

“Any time you get beat, you want to go back and compete and play very well,” Fisher said. “I don’t ever like the word revenge; I think revenge clouds your thinking. I think you’ve got two different teams, two different groups of people, two different years apart. You want to win because somebody had success against you. I mean, that’s just human nature.”

Expert Analysis and Prediction

While LSU hasn’t looked completely awful this season, the Tigers are certainly not the same team that ran the table en route to last season’s national championship. LSU has alternated wins and losses all season long and suffered an embarrassing 44-34 home loss against Mississippi State in their regular season opener while falling to a mediocre Missouri team 45-41 two weeks later.

Still, LSU has gone an encouraging 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record while going 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record. Texas A&M has covered the spread in three of its last four games while going 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite.

While I’m a little wary of the two-touchdown plus spread, the favorite in this SEC rivalry has gone 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Texas A&M is well-rested and has a lot riding on the line in this meetings. I’m going with the Aggies to narrowly cover the spread while improving their hopes of reaching the College Football Playoff!

Pick: Texas A&M 41 LSU 21

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