Miami vs Florida 2019 College Football Week 1 Odds, Preview and Pick

Miami vs Florida 2019 College Football Week 1 Odds, Preview and Pick

Written by on August 20, 2019

The Miami Hurricanes and Florida Gators start their quest for college gridiron glory when the two battle this Saturday at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida. Are the Gators a real contender to Georgia in the SEC East? Will Manny Diaz start his reign as Miami head coach with a victory? Check out the college football betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Miami-Florida!

Miami vs Florida 2019 College Football Week 1 Odds, Preview and Pick

Weather Forecast

  • PM Thunderstorms: 32°C/90°F
  • Humidity: 71%
  • Precipitation: 40%
  • Wind: 7 mph SE
  • Cloud Cover: 49%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Miami Hurricanes are a good bet +7 ½?

Manny Diaz fielded one of the top defenses in college football last season. Diaz had accepted the job to coach Temple, but after Mark Richt retired, Diaz went back to Hurricane Nation. The Canes were exceptional on defense. They only allowed 19.5 points per.

If Miami can find a semblance of a passing attack on Saturday, they could surprise and keep this game much closer than most believe.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 358.8
  • Passing Yards: 167.3
  • Rushing Yards: 161.5
  • Points Scored: 28.8
  • Field Goal %: 75
  • Total Yards: 278.6
  • Passing Yards: 135.6
  • Rushing Yards: 143
  • Points Allowed: 19.5
  • Field Goal %: 70.4

Why Florida Gators are a good bet -7 ½?

Few teams enter this season with as much momentum as the Florida Gators. In Dan Mullen’s first season as head coach, Florida exceeded expectations. The Gators hit a tough patch with back-to-back losses to Georgia and Missouri, as well as a Week 2 loss to Kentucky, but other than that, they were great.

Florida ended their season on a four game win streak. The streak included dominating FSU 41-14 in Tallahassee and beating up Michigan 41-15 in the Chik-Fil-A Bowl. There’s no reason to believe the Gators don’t carry last season’s momentum over to their first game this season.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 428.7
  • Passing Yards: 213.5
  • Rushing Yards: 215.2
  • Points Scored: 35
  • Field Goal %: 90
  • Total Yards: 338.7
  • Passing Yards: 178.9
  • Rushing Yards: 159.8
  • Points Allowed: 20
  • Field Goal %: 73.9

College Football Week 1 Betting Trends for Miami vs Florida

  • Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in August
  • Hurricanes are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games on field turf
  • Hurricanes are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games
  • Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games
  • Gators are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall
  • Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf

Miami vs Florida Final Betting Analysis

Although Manny Diaz is a great coach, he’s saddled with an atrocious offense. Not only that, but the Miami Hurricanes face a defense that returns seven starters.

Last season, the Gators defense had to learn Todd Grantham’s different blitz packages and complicated schemes. It took Florida defenders a while to do that. When everything clicked, they dominated teams like FSU and Michigan.

On offense, Feleipe Franks is an outsider Heisman Trophy contender. If Florida gets the offensive line together, they could win the SEC. Miami should be easy pickings for a National Championship contender like the Florida Gators.

College Football Week 1 Pick: Florida -7 ½