Notre Dame vs Navy NCAA Football Week 9 Lines & Analysis

Notre Dame vs Navy NCAA Football Week 9 Lines & Analysis

Written by on October 26, 2018

We are reaching the point of the college football season where the teams sitting at or near the top of the national rankings can start to see the playoff finish line on the horizon. This is when the best teams buckle down and get the job done, and where the pretenders trip up and fall off the pace, much like Ohio State did last week in a stunning loss to the Purdue Boilermakers. One of the biggest stories of this college football season is about the likelihood of seeing a team from outside the Power 5 make it into the playoffs.

Ultimately, the decision will be in the hands of the playoff committee, but you have to believe that they would have a tough time keeping Notre Dame, an independent, out of the playoffs if they remain unbeaten. This is where we will see exactly what the Irish are made of, as a single slip up in the final few weeks will mean that they are almost certainly out. Notre Dame is in as a 23.5-point favorite, with the point total set at 53.

Notre Dame vs Navy NCAA Football Week 9 Lines & Analysis

  • When: Saturday, October 27 at 8 PM EST
  • Where: SDCCU Stadium, San Diego
  • TV: CBS
  • Radio: TuneIn
  • Live Stream: CBS Sports
  • NCAA Football Week 9 Odds: Notre Dame -23.5 (Total 53)

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Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 20°C/68°F
  • Humidity: 75%
  • Precipitation: 4%
  • Cloud Cover: 8%
  • Wind: 4 mph WNW
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why bet on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish?

The Irish come into Week 9 of the college football season with an unbeaten record, but there are still some fans out there who believe that the playoff committee may hold the Irish out of the top 4, at least for now. Their win over Michigan in Week 1 certainly looks better now than it did back then, but tight wins over the likes of Vanderbilt, Pitt, and Ball State are not going to do much to impress the people who ultimately decide who is in or out.

The Irish could do with some flashy wins in the final few weeks of the season, otherwise, they may end up losing out to a 1-loss team from the SEC or Big Ten. Notre Dame has won 6 of their last 7 games versus Navy, but they have only managed to cover the spread once in the last 5 meetings.

Team Stats

  • Average Score For: 32.57
  • Total Yards: 427.71
  • Rush Yards: 179.14
  • Passing Yards: 248.57
  • Average Score Against: 18.71
  • Total Yards: 340.85
  • Rush Yards: 126.14
  • Passing Yards: 214.71

Why bet on the Navy Midshipmen?

Navy is certainly not one of the easiest teams to watch, as they employ a triple-option offense that sees them run the ball more often than not. Every team they face knows exactly what is coming, yet it’s a style of offense that can be very frustrating to defend. The Midshipmen are averaging over 300 YPG on the ground this season and have averaged 282 YPG on the ground in their last 10 meetings with Notre Dame.

Notre Dame vs Navy should be an easy victory for the visiting team.

If they can run the ball effectively against Notre Dame, they may just be able to extend drives and keep the score in check. If they are consistently shut down on 3rd down attempts, this could be a long day for them. Navy are just 1-6 ATS this season, so the odds of covering do not look particularly good. 

Team Stats

  • Average Score For: 29.14
  • Total Yards: 387.72
  • Rush Yards: 309.43
  • Passing Yards: 78.29
  • Average Score Against: 34.29
  • Total Yards: 419.71
  • Rush Yards: 166.00
  • Passing Yards: 253.71

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Notre Dame vs Navy NCAA Football Week 9 Betting Trends

  • Notre Dame is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Navy
  • Notre Dame is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Navy
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Notre Dame’s last 8 games when playing Navy
  • Navy is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Navy is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Navy’s last 8 games when playing Notre Dame

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Notre Dame vs Navy

I like the Irish to go out and win this one in rather comfortable fashion, but I am a little concerned about the size of that point spread. I think they may come up just a little short.

Score: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 39 – Navy Midshipmen 17