NCAA Football: No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 13 Penn State Odds, Picks & Predictions

Written by on October 27, 2022

The biggest game in college football on Saturday is from the Big Ten as No. 2 Ohio State looks to stay unbeaten and atop the national championship odds board when it visits No. 13 Penn State. The Buckeyes are better than two TD favorites. Let’s look at the preview for your favorite NCAA Football bets.

How to Bet Ohio State at Penn State NCAA Football Odds & TV Info

  • When: Saturday, noon ET
  • Where: Beaver Stadium
  • TV: FOX
  • Stream: Fox Sports Go
  • Radio: Tunein.com
  • Opening NCAAF Lines:  OSU -15.5 (total 60.5)

Last Season

Last year, Ohio State beat visiting Penn State 33-24. TreVeyon Henderson ran for 152 yards on 28 carries. The Buckeyes finally finished off the Nittany Lions on Noah Ruggles’ fourth field goal, a 26-yarder with 2:41 left to make it a nine-point lead. PSU QB Sean Clifford was 35 for 52 for 361 yards and a touchdown. This is the 30th consecutive year the two teams will meet on the gridiron, all since Penn State joined the Big Ten Conference in 1993. The average margin of victory over the last six games has been 6.3 points.

Why Bet on Ohio State?

Ohio State is off a 54-10 domination of Iowa. C.J. Stroud completed 20-of-30 passes for 286 yards and four second-half touchdowns. Receivers Emeka Egbuka, Marvin Harrison Jr., Julian Fleming and Mitch Rossi each had scoring grabs in the win.

Stroud jumped Terrelle Pryor (6,177), Greg Frey (6,316), and Joe Germaine (6,370) to move into fourth place on the all-time passing yards list with 6,458 career passing yards. Stroud has now thrown for four or more scores in 12 of his 19 career starts. He is the top-rated passer in the nation in TDs (28), passing efficiency (203.9), points responsible for (168) and points resp. per game (24.0). He is also 2nd in yards per attempt (10.65) and 3rd in yards per comp. (15.21). Stroud is completing 70 pct. of his passes and he has thrown at least one TD pass in 19 consecutive games.

Harrison’s third quarter touchdown catch was his 10th of the season, tying him with Corey Brown and KJ Hill for 15th all-time in single-season touchdown receptions. Ohio State now has scored more than 20 points in 68 consecutive games, one away from tying the all-time record set by Oklahoma from 2016-21.

Kicker Noah Ruggles converted on all four field goal attempts in the opening half from 46, 41, 35 and 26 yards. He finished the day with 18 points (4 FGs, 6 extra pts.). Defensively, Ohio State had three interceptions, two by Tanner McCalister and one returned for a score by linebacker Tommy Eichenberg. The Buckeye defense allowed only 158 total yards against Iowa, the fewest since allowing 128 yards to Indiana in 2021.

Ohio State’s defense has risen to No. 2 nationally in total defense, allowing 239.9 yards per game. This is an improvement of more than 110 yards and 46 places from OSU’s seven-game stats in 2021. Ohio State has won 24 consecutive games when it forces three or more opponent turnovers, as it did with six forced vs. Iowa. The last loss came in 2014 to Virginia Tech, 35-21, despite three forced TOs.

Why Bet on Penn State?

Penn State routed a pretty good Minnesota team 45-17 last week. Sean Clifford threw for 295 yards and four touchdowns, while Nicholas Singleton led the rushing attack with 79 yards and two touchdowns on 13 carries, and Kaytron Allen notched 77 yards. Wide receiver Parker Washington recorded seven catches for 70 yards and a touchdown, and tight end Theo Johnson collected 75 yards and a touchdown on five catches.

Clifford became the career completions leader at Penn State, passing Trace McSorley (720; 2015-18) for the all-time record. Clifford has 722 career completions. Clifford earned his 29th career game with multiple touchdown passes, 15th career game with three touchdown passes and fifth career game with four touchdown passes.

Singleton scored on runs of 16 and 30 yards. It was his third game with multiple rushing touchdowns this season. He now has four touchdowns of 30 or more yards this season. Singleton now has seven rushing touchdowns, tying Saquon Barkley (7; 2015) for the second-most by a Penn State freshman. Only Noah Cain (8; 2019) has more rushing touchdowns as a PSU freshman.

The Nittany Lion defense stifled the Golden Gophers in the first half, forcing Minnesota to a 0-for-6 start on third downs and 2-for-13 overall on the game. The Gophers entered the game leading FBS in third down conversion percentage (66.2%).

Ji’Ayir “Tig” Brown continues to make big plays for the Nittany Lions. On Saturday against Minnesota, Brown picked off a pass in the third quarter and returned it 35 yards to setup a Penn State touchdown drive. The senior has had a hand in 12 takeaways in his PSU career (nine interceptions, two forced fumbles, one fumble recovery) and has helped force four takeaways in 2022 with three interceptions and a forced fumble.

Game Trends

  • Buckeyes are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
  • Buckeyes are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games in October.
  • Nittany Lions are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Nittany Lions are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Expert Prediction

  • Ohio State 35, Penn State 24
 
 

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