Penn State vs Minnesota 2019 College Football Week 11 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

Penn State vs Minnesota 2019 College Football Week 11 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

Written by on November 5, 2019

A couple of undefeated Big Ten teams clash on Saturday when Penn State takes on Minnesota. The Nittany Lions are the road favorites. The Golden Gophers hope to prove to everyone that their undefeated record is no fluke. Which team gets it done? Check out the college football odds, analysis and a free pick for Penn State vs Minnesota!

Penn State vs Minnesota 2019 College Football Week 11 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

  • When: Saturday, Nov. 9 at 12:00 pm ET
  • Where: TCF Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
  • TV: ABC
  • ATS Odds: Penn State -7

Why Penn State Nittany Lions are a good bet -7?

Penn State is 8-0 SU and 5-3 ATS. They’ve been good from their first game, a 79-7 win over Idaho. The Nittany Lions strength rests in their defense. It ranks second in rushing yards allowed at 68.9. It ranks second in points allowed at 9.6. The Lions average 38.5 per. Penn State is the perfect mix of great offense and great defense. Minnesota has yet to face a team this talented.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 424.4
  • Passing Yards: 252
  • Rushing Yards: 172.4
  • Points Scored: 38.5
  • Total Yards: 280.5
  • Passing Yards: 211.6
  • Rushing Yards: 68.9
  • Points Allowed: 9.6

Why Minnesota Golden Gophers are a good bet +7?

Minnesota’s stats aren’t too far off from Penn State’s. The Golden Gophers average 38.4 points. That’s only .1 off of what the Nittany Lions average. Although the defense allows 20 points per game, it has stepped it up in recent matchups. The Golden Gophers have hit their stride. Penn State won’t intimidate them on Saturday. Playing in front of their fans, Minnesota should step it up for at least the cover win.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 429.5
  • Passing Yards: 225
  • Rushing Yards: 204.5
  • Points Scored: 38.4
  • Total Yards: 283.8
  • Passing Yards: 166.4
  • Rushing Yards: 117.4
  • Points Allowed: 20

College Football Week 11 Betting Trends for Penn State vs Minnesota

  • The Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record
  • The Nittany Lions are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Penn State’s last 6 games
  • The Golden Gophers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games
  • The Golden Gophers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 7 games

Penn State vs Minnesota Final Betting Analysis

Many haven’t watched the Minnesota Golden Gophers play this season. They’re not as popular as the Penn State Nittany Lions. That’s why Penn State is favored by 7 points when they shouldn’t be.

Minnesota is for real. The Gophers struggled early, going 0-2-1 against the spread in their first 3 games. Since then, they’ve been fantastic. They’ve picked it up big time in their last 3 games. The Gophers’ defense held Nebraska to 7 points, Rutgers to 7, and Maryland to 10. Minnesota has gone 5-0 in their last 5. They should definitely cover in Week 11. Why settle for a win ATS, though? Why not back the Gophers on the moneyline? That’s the best play in this matchup, Minnesota to beat Penn State straight-up.

College Football Week 11 Free Pick: Minnesota moneyline