NCAAF Sun Belt Championship Game: Appalachian State at Louisiana Betting Analysis

NCAAF Sun Belt Championship Game: Appalachian State at Louisiana Betting Analysis

The two best teams in the Sun Belt Conference clash on Saturday, when the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns host the Appalachian State Mountaineers for the Sun Belt championship. Ragin’ Cajuns coach Bill Napier has already accepted the job at Florida. But Napier said he’s spent this entire week readying the Cajuns for their battle against the Mountaineers. Will Louisiana send their coach off to the Sunshine State a conference winner? Or will road favorite App State take the title? Check out College Football odds, analysis, and a free pick for Appalachian State at Louisiana.

College Football Betting Picks – Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns

Appalachian State Mountaineers at Louisiana Game Odds & Info

Why bet on Appalachian State versus Louisiana?

Appalachian State’s defense has become a top unit. The Mountaineers allow 18.9 points per game ranking fourteenth in the nation. Because Appalachian State averages close to 36 points each contest, App State can build a lead against their opponents and then count on their defense to control the opposing offense. 

Appalachian State Mountaineers Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 440.0
  • Passing Yards: 251.0
  • Rushing Yards: 189.0
  • Points Scored: 35.8
  • Turnovers: 11

Appalachian State Mountaineers Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 319.6
  • Passing Yards: 206.3
  • Rushing Yards: 113.3
  • Points Scored: 18.9
  • Takeaways: 15

Why bet on Louisiana versus Appalachian State?

This is a rematch of a game that happened during the regular season. Louisiana trounced Appalachian State 41-13. Also, the Ragin’ Cajuns are 11-1. The lone loss happened versus Texas in Week 1 when the Longhorns were a good football team. Like App State, Louisiana also has a good defense, one that allows 18.5 points per. 

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 406.7
  • Passing Yards: 214.3
  • Rushing Yards: 192.3
  • Points Scored: 31.3
  • Turnovers: 3

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 349.7
  • Passing Yards: 206.0
  • Rushing Yards: 143.7
  • Points Scored: 18.5
  • Takeaways: 9

Relevant Trends for Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns

  • Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Appalachian State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 as a favorite on the road
  • Over is 6-1 in the Mountaineers’ lsat 7 games following an ATS loss
  • Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog
  • Louisiana is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss
  • Under is 14-3 in the Ragin’ Cajuns’ last 17 following an ATS loss

Appalachian State versus Louisiana Final Betting Prediction

Oddsmakers favor the Mountaineers for a couple of reasons. First, App State shows no injuries. Second, the road team faces a Louisiana squad whose coach has already accepted a job somewhere else.

But although both must factor in our handicapping, Lousiana is the better team. The Ragin’ Cajuns could have gone undefeated during the regular season if not for an implosion against Texas in their first game.

As far as Napier going to Florida is concerned, his players knew all season that it was their last with their head coach. Bill Napier entered 2021 one of the hottest names in coaching circles. If not Florida, LSU, USC, Notre Dame, or some other school would have offered him a contract.

Also, Napier said he’s concentrating on coaching the Ragin’ Cajuns to a victory in the Sun Belt Championship. He doesn’t care about the bowl game, but he wants to win this game for his players and for the University of Louisiana-Lafayette. Ragin’ Cajuns moneyline is the play. 

NCAAF Sun Belt Championship Pick: Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns moneyline

 
 

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