2022 NCAA Football Utah State Aggies vs #1 Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Analysis for Week 1

2022 NCAA Football Utah State Aggies vs #1 Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Analysis for Week 1

The favorite to win the National Championship starts their quest for the title on Saturday when the first ranked Alabama Crimson Tide host 1-0 Utah State. The Aggies beat Connecticut last Saturday. The victory should give Utah State, the best team in the Mountain West Conference last season, momentum heading to Tuscaloosa. But this is Alabama. Will the Tide dominate the Aggies and cover the gigantic -39 spread? Or will Utah State play well enough to lose by a more respectable 28 to 35? Check out College Football odds, analysis, and free picks for Alabama versus Utah State.   

College Football Week 1 Odds: Utah State Aggies at Alabama

Utah State vs Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Info

Why bet on Utah State versus Alabama?

Utah State already has a win under their belts. The Aggies didn’t play as well as they would have hoped versus Connecticut, but Utah State got the win. Offensively, the Aggies showed they have a balanced attack. Logan Bonner threw for 281 yards. The Aggies rushed for 261. Utah State won’t come close to beating Alabama, but they can win against the spread. 

Utah State Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 542.0
  • Passing Yards: 281.0
  • Rushing Yards: 261.0
  • Points Scored: 31.0
  • Turnovers: 2

Utah State Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 364.0
  • Passing Yards: 119.0
  • Rushing Yards: 245.0
  • Points Scored: 20.0
  • Takeaways: 2

Why bet on Alabama versus Utah State?

Alabama feels like they let a National Championship slip from their grasps. The Crimson Tide faced rival Georgia in the title contest. After Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Bryce Young lost wide receiver Jameson Williams, Bama couldn’t keep up. Alabama won’t mess around in 2022. The Tide will put the foot to the peddle from the first game. 

Alabama Crimson Tide Offensive Averages

** Stats from 2021

  • Total Yards: 495.7
  • Passing Yards: 347.9
  • Rushing Yards: 147.8
  • Points Scored: 42.5
  • Turnovers: 7

Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Averages

** Stats from 2021

  • Total Yards: 304.8
  • Passing Yards: 223.3
  • Rushing Yards: 81.5
  • Points Scored: 20.2
  • Takeaways: 15

Utah State Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide Relevant Trends

  • Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
  • Utah State is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games in September
  • Under is 4-0 in the Aggies’ last 4 non-conference games
  • Crimson Tide is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games
  • Alabama is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September
  • Over is 14-3 in the Crimson Tide’s last 17 games in September

Utah State Aggies at 1-Alabama Crimson Tide Final Betting Prediction

Utah State entered their game versus Connecticut a -24 favorite. Although the Aggies got the win, they didn’t come close to covering the spread. But that doesn’t mean Utah State is a bad football team.

Heading into the game, we thought oddsmakers were discounting Jim Mora Jr.’s ability to get the Huskies to outplay the odds, which is what happened. On Saturday, Alabama faces a very good football team.

Utah State won the Mountain West Conference by beating San Diego State in the title game. Logan Bonner returns at quarterback and the Aggies have play makers all over the field.

Not only that, but Bama is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September. At this point of the season, Nick Saban wants his team to play well. Saban won’t ratchet up the pressure until after 3 to 4 games. 

Again, it doesn’t mean Utah State has any shot of beating the Crimson Tide. But it does mean laying -39 on Alabama versus a veteran conference winning squad with a talented quarterback makes no sense. 

NCAAF Week 1 Pick: Utah State Aggies +39 

 
 

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