NBA Western Conference Finals Golden State vs Dallas Odds Game 4

NBA Western Conference Finals: Golden State vs Dallas Odds Game 4

The Golden State Warriors look to sweep away the Dallas Mavericks in the NBA’s Western Conference Finals on Tuesday night and await either the Boston Celtics or Miami Heat in the NBA Finals. However, the Mavs are slight home favorites on the NBA odds for Game 4 to extend it.

How to Bet Warriors at Mavericks NBA Odds & TV Info

  • When: Tuesday, 9 PM ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center
  • TV: TNT
  • Stream: TNT app
  • Radio: Tunein.com
  • NBA Odds: Mavericks -1 (total 215.5)

Why Bet on Golden State?

The Warriors put a stranglehold on this series with a 109-100 road win in Game 3 – all three wins have been by at least nine points in the series. Andrew Wiggins scored a postseason-career high 27 points to go with 11 rebounds and three assists with zero turnovers. He shot 11-of-20 from the floor and 1-of-5 from three and made 4-of-5 free throws. Wiggins was huge in the fourth quarter when the Warriors were able to put the proverbial nail in the coffin in Dallas. He recorded his third career playoff double-double (all in 2022). Wiggins’ 11 field goals made and 20 attempts set new playoff career highs.

Stephen Curry scored 31 points on 10-of-20 shooting (5-of-10 3-pointers) to go with 11 assists and five rebounds. The Warriors used another big third quarter to pull away from the Mavericks and they were able to hold on in the fourth to push the Mavericks to the brink of elimination. Curry tallied his 47th career 30-point playoff game, which broke a tie with Dirk Nowitzki and moved him into 11th place on the all-time list. Among active players, it’s the third-most career 30-point games in the playoffs, trailing only LeBron James (118) and Kevin Durant (71).

Curry has now scored over 30 in four of his last seven games, including two straight. He has seven 30-point games in these playoffs. Michael Jordan and LeBron James are the only players with that many 30-point games in a single postseason at age-34 or older.  MJ and LeBron both won Finals MVP in the seasons they did this.

Golden State has outrebounded Dallas, 141-98, in the series, including in each game of the series. Kevon Looney is averaging a team-high 9.7 rebounds in the series. Curry ranks second behind Looney with an 8.3 rebounding average.

The Warriors have a taken 3-0 series lead for the 11th time under Steve Kerr.  Kerr matches Phil Jackson for the 2nd-most instances of taking a 3-0 series lead by a head coach all-time Only Gregg Popovich has more (13).

This is the 26th consecutive playoff series in which the Warriors won at least one road game, an NBA record streak that began with a road victory in Denver in the First Round of the 2013 NBA Playoffs (131-117 on April 23, 2013). The Dubs are 20-9 in series-clinching games since 2015. All-time, the Warriors are 44-25 in that playoff situation. The Warriors have an all-time 32-27 record in Game 4s, including a 14-8 mark since 2015.

Key Warriors reserve Otto Porter Jr. is doubtful for Game 4 after leaving Game 3 with a foot injury.

Why Bet on Dallas?

The Warriors outscored the Mavs, 30-21, in the third quarter Sunday night, and then went to defeat Dallas by nine points – 109-100 – to take a commanding 3-0 lead in this best-of-seven Western Conference Finals series. All of that came one game after the Warriors outscored the Mavs, 25-13, in the third quarter of their 126-117 victory over Dallas on Friday in Game 2 of this series.

“They’re a team of runs,” coach Jason Kidd said. “They went on a run, and again, we gave up 30 points in that third. Just understanding you can’t give them second opportunities. When you give them second opportunities, Klay (Thompson) and Steph (Curry) and (Andrew) Wiggins — Wiggins is playing at a high level for them. They’ve been here before, so they understand what they have to do, and they did it (Sunday).”

Luka Doncic scored 40 points to go with 11 rebounds with three assists in Sunday’s loss. Doncic shot 11-of-23 from the floor and 4-of-9 from three while going 14-of-17 from the foul line. He also tallied his eighth 40-point game, which breaks a tie with Dirk Nowitzki for the most in franchise history. Unfortunately, the Mavericks are just 2-6 in those games. The Mavericks have lost 4 straight playoff games where Doncic scores 40+ points.   That’s tied for the longest losing streak by a player scoring 40+ points in NBA playoff history, along with Rick Barry (1967-77).

Spencer Dinwiddie scored 26 points on 7-of-13 shooting from the floor (4-of-10 3-pointers) to go with two rebounds, one assist and one turnover in the loss. Dinwiddie was awesome in this one, unfortunately, it wasn’t enough to get Dallas over the hump. Dinwiddie scored just four points in Game 2, so consistency has been something that he has not found yet this postseason. Jalen Brunson added 20 points on 7-of-12 shooting (3-of-6 3-pointers) to go with five rebounds.

But the rest of the team came up with only 14 points. Reggie Bullock was 0-for-10 from the field, Maxi Kleber 0-for-5.

The Mavs lost the rebounding battle, 47-33, including 14-7 on the offensive end of the floor. That directly led to the Warriors outscoring them in second-chance points, 18-4. Going down 3-0 in an NBA playoff series is like poison, pure and simple. Nobody has ever recovered, and only a handful of teams that lose the first three games have rallied to force a Game 7. Portland did it against the Mavericks in 2011.

Game Trends

  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
  • Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
  • Warriors are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
  • Mavericks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
  • Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite.
  • Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.
  • Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Dallas.

Expert Prediction

  • Mavericks 108, Warriors 106
 
 

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