March Madness First Four Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State Betting Preview

March Madness First Four Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State Betting Preview

A pair of 11 seeds throw down in the second First Four game on Tuesday night when Pittsburgh and Mississippi State step onto the UD Arena floor. Oddsmakers believe the teams are so close that Mississippi State is a -1.5 favorite.

Will Miss State show why they belong? Or will it be Pittsburgh that gets it done?

Check out college basketball odds, analysis, and a free pick for Pittsburgh versus Mississippi State.

 

2023 March Madness First Four Game 2
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

ATS Odds: Mississippi State -1.5
Over/Under Odds: 132.5 -110
When: Tuesday, March 14 at 9:10 pm ET
Where: UD Arena, Dayton, OH
TV / Streaming: truTV/Paramount+

 

Why Bet on Pittsburgh against Mississippi State?

Pittsburgh had some great moments during the regular season. The Panthers blasted Northwestern 87-58 in an early season game at Northwestern.

Also, Pitt swept the 2-game series against North Carolina, and split the 2-game series against Miami. Throw out the loss to Duke in the ACC Tournament. The Blue Devils are one of the hottest teams in the nation.

Pittsburgh Panthers
Offensive Averages

  • Points/G: 75.9
  • FG %: 45.1
  • 3PT%: 36.0
  • FT %: 75.7
  • Rebounds/G: 33.5

Pittsburgh Panthers
Defensive Averages

  • Points/G: 69.3
  • FG %: 41.8
  • 3PT%: 33.2
  • FT %: 71.0
  • Rebounds/G: 31.3
 

Why Bet on Mississippi State against Pittsburgh Panthers?

Like their rivals in this First Four contest, Mississippi State had some great moments during the regular season. The Bulldogs beat Mizzou and then lost the second game in overtime.

Miss State also beat Arkansas. In a game against Alabama, the Bulldogs got close in a 3-point loss.

Mississippi State also has a huge out of conference victory, beating Marquette 58-55 on a neutral floor in November. Marquette won the Big East Regular Season and conference tournament.   

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Offensive Averages

  • Points/G: 66.4
  • FG %: 42.8
  • 3PT%: 27.3
  • FT %: 64.6
  • Rebounds/G: 34.8

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Defensive Averages

  • Points/G: 60.4
  • FG %: 39.3
  • 3PT%: 30.9
  • FT %: 72.7
  • Rebounds/G: 30.2
 

Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Relevant Trends

  • Panthers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games
  • Pittsburgh is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points
  • Over is 4-0 in the Panthers’ last 4 neutral site games
  • Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games
  • Mississippi State is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at a neutral site
  • Over is 4-0 in the Bulldogs’ last 4 games following a straight up loss
 
SE Missouri State vs Tennessee Tech THRILLING Ending | 2023 College Basketball

 

Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Final Betting Prediction

Both Mississippi State and Pittsburgh aren’t playing great, which makes this an incredibly tough game to handicap. The Bulldogs and the Panthers lost their last game.

Miss State fell 49-72 versus the Alabama Crimson Tide. Pittsburgh lost 69-96 to Duke. Both teams got smashed, but a closer look reveals one team played better than the other.

Duke shot 62% from the field and 42% from behind the arc in the victory over the Panthers. The Crimson Tide shot 40% from the field and 35% from three when beating the Bulldogs.

Miss State shot 8% from three and 31% from the field in the loss against the Crimson Tide. There’s no way the favorite in this comes close to shooting that badly versus Pitt. Mississippi State to cover is the play.   

March Madness First Four Game 2 Pick: Mississippi State -1.5 | Bet Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State Today
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