Buccaneers vs Jaguars 2019 NFL Week 13 Spread & Expert Analysis.

Buccaneers vs Jaguars 2019 NFL Week 13 Spread & Expert Analysis

Written by on November 27, 2019

It’s two Florida teams playing out the string on disappointing seasons on Sunday afternoon as the Jacksonville Jaguars host the Tampa Bay Bucs. Could be a fair amount of change on both clubs this offseason. The Jags are slight Mybookie NFL betting favorites.

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Buccaneers vs Jaguars Last Meeting

In 2015, the Bucs beat the visiting Jaguars 38-31 to end what had been an 11-game home losing streak for Tampa. Doug Martin ran for 123 yards and three touchdowns — he’s long gone. Jameis Winston threw for 209 yards and one touchdown without an interception and he’s still around.

Blake Bortles passed for 303 yards and four TDs, but was sacked six times and also threw an interception that set up a Bucs touchdown. Bortles is now with the Rams. Corey Grant lost a third-quarter fumble that defensive end Jacquies Smith returned 3 yards for a score that put Tampa Bay ahead for good.

Why Bet on Tampa Bay?

Tampa was a 35-22 upset winner in Atlanta on Sunday. Jameis Winston completed 18-of-26 passes for 313 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. Winston is averaging over 325 yards and two touchdowns in his last nine games. Winston also became the first quarterback since Jon Kitna in 2002 to turn the ball over 100 times in 67 career games and the first quarterback since Deshone Kizer in 2017 to throw at least 20 interceptions in a season.

Winston’s third touchdown Sunday came from 347-pound defensive tackle Vita Vea — a former high school running back — who ran untouched into the flat for a 1-yard touchdown, the first of his career. He was the largest NFL player ever to catch a touchdown pass.

Chris Godwin recorded seven receptions for 184 yards and two touchdowns in the Buccaneers’ win. It marked Godwin’s third game of the season in which he had at least 150 receiving yards. Godwin and Tampa Bay wide receiver Mike Evans have each recorded at least 150 receiving yards in three games this season, becoming the first pair of teammates to each record three such performances in a single season in NFL history.

Godwin, who has 1,071 receiving yards this season, and Evans, who has 1,043 receiving yards in 2019, are the fourth pair of teammates each with at least 1,000 receiving yards in their team’s first 11 games, joining Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas (2014 Denver Broncos), Torry Holt and Isaac Bruce (2000 St. Louis Rams), and Pro Football Hall of Famer Don Maynard and George Sauer (1968 New York Jets).

Evans, who registered 50 receiving yards on Sunday, joined Hall of Famer Randy Moss (1998-2003) as the only players with at least 1,000 receiving yards in each of their first six seasons in NFL history.

Team Stats

  • Points per Game: 28.36
  • Passing Yards: 288.09
  • Rushing Yards: 98.27
  • Yards per Play: 5.67


  • Points per Game: 19.00
  • Passing Yards: 250.82
  • Rushing Yards: 119.27
  • Yards per Play: 5.69

Why Bet on Jacksonville?

The Jaguars lost their third in a row Sunday, 42-20 at Tennessee. The Titans scored four touchdowns over six offensive plays in the third quarter to blow it open. Derrick Henry became the first player in the NFL since 2006 to score two TDs within 20 seconds, and rookie receiver A.J. Brown capped the scoring spurt with a 65-yard TD catch that made it 35-3 with 6:57 left in the third quarter.

Nick Foles completed 32-of-48 passes for 272 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions while adding 20 yards on three rushing attempts. Foles was tagged for three sacks, resulting in a loss of 20 yards. The vast majority of Foles’ output including 30 of his 48 passing attempts came with Jacksonville trailing in the second half.

Jaguars coach Doug Marrone said he hasn’t considered a quarterback change even though the team is winless under Foles and won all four games with rookie Gardner Minshew.

Buccaneers vs Jaguars should be an easy one for Tampa Bay.

“It’s going to be the same questions about jobs, switching quarterbacks, changes, players and all that stuff,” said Marrone in the aftermath of Sunday’s 22-point defeat. “We’re going to work our [butt] off to get this team right somehow, some way.”Leonard Fournette contributed 97 yards and two touchdowns on 24 carries while adding nine grabs for 62 yards on 12 targets.

Fournette’s 33 touches were a career high by eight. Fournette got a monkey off his back by punching in a pair of touchdowns (each of the goal-line variety), doubling his season total while also erasing a five-game scoreless drought.

Defensive coordinator Todd Wash’s unit on Sunday gave up more than 200 yards rushing for the fourth time this season. That hadn’t been done before in franchise history. The Jaguars entered the weekend having allowed the most rushing yards after contact in the NFL.

Team Stats

  • Points per Game: 19.00
  • Passing Yards: 250.82
  • Rushing Yards: 119.27
  • Yards per Play: 5.69


  • Points per Game: 24.00
  • Passing Yards: 222.27
  • Rushing Yards: 142.27
  • Yards per Play: 5.95

Buccaneers vs Jaguars NFL Week 13 Betting Trends

  • Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings
  • Buccaneers are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games played in December
  • Buccaneers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against Jacksonville
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games on the road
  • Jaguars are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games played on a Sunday
  • Jaguars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the NFC conference
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Jacksonville’s last 9 games at home

Expert Final Score Prediction for Buccaneers vs Jaguars

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 – Jacksonville Jaguars 27


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