Saints vs Giants NFL Week 4 Odds & Expert Pick

Saints vs Giants NFL Week 4 Odds & Expert Pick

Written by on September 26, 2018

The New Orleans Saints are the most fortunate 2-1 team in the NFL as they could be and probably should be 0-3. But, they are road favorites on Sunday as they visit the 1-2 New York Giants, who have been struggling offensively.

How to Bet Saints vs Giants NFL Week 4 Odds & Game Info

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Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 18°C/65°F
  • Humidity: 55%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 33%
  • Wind: 7 mph W
  • Stadium Type: Open

Last Meeting

In Week 2 of the 2016 season, the Saints lost 16-13 at the Giants. Giants WR Victor Cruz, now out of the league, hauled in a 34-yard third-down pass from Eli Manning to set up Josh Brown’s winning 23-yard field goal as time expired. Brown is out of the NFL too. Brown’s third field goal capped an 11-play, 70-yard drive that featured two key third-down passes by Manning and a pass interference call on a pass to Odell Beckham Jr. Drew Brees was held to 263 yards passing and one TD. The Saints had just 288 total yards.

Why Bet on New Orleans?

In Sunday’s wild 43-37 overtime win in Atlanta, New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees completed 39 of 49 passes (79.6 percent) for 396 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions for a 120.7 passer rating and rushed for two touchdowns. Brees, who has 6,326 completions in his 18-year NFL career, surpassed Hall of Famer Brett Favre (6,300) for the most completions in NFL history. Brees became the first player in NFL history with at least 350 passing yards, three touchdown passes and two rushing touchdowns without an interception in a single game.

Saints wide receiver Michael Thomas had 10 catches for 129 yards in the win. Thomas has 38 catches through three games in 2018, the most by a player in his team’s first three games of a season in league history. Thomas is the first player in NFL history to record at least 10 catches in each of his team’s first three games to start a season.

Saints running back Alvin Kamara had a career-high 15 catches for 124 yards and rushed for 66 yards in the win. Kamara’s 15 receptions tied William Andrews (November 15, 1981) and Rickey Young (December 16, 1979) for the second-most catches by a running back in a single game in NFL history. Only Clark Gaines (17 on September 21, 1980) recorded more catches as a running back in a single game in league annals. Cameron Meredith registered an 11-yard touchdown on his lone target Sunday. Active for the first time this season, Meredith made the most of his lone target.

Some bad news for the Saints, who already have been terrible on defense: cornerback Patrick Robinson was placed on injured reserve with a broken ankle. Robinson signed a four-year, $20 million deal to be the Saints’ slot corner in March. He had been playing decent snaps for the Saints’ terrible cornerback corps, grading out of the top player in the group on Pro Football Focus. Robinson will be a candidate to return after eight weeks, but it’s possible he will need more time to get healthy.

Team Stats

  • Average Score For: 34.67
  • Total Yards: 428.00
  • Rush Yards: 82.67
  • Passing Yards: 345.33
  • Average Score Against: 34.33
  • Total Yards: 421.00
  • Rush Yards: 84.33
  • Passing Yards: 336.67

Why Bet on NY Giants?

The Giants had easily their best game of the season in Week 3, winning 27-22 in Houston. Eli Manning threw for 297 yards and two touchdowns and rookie Saquon Barkley added a score. The Giants (1-2) were up by 14 at halftime but had trouble moving the ball in the second half. The Texans had cut the lead to five before Manning threw a 7-yard touchdown pass to Sterling Shepard with about two minutes left.

Manning completed 25-of-29 passes for 297 yards. The Giants’ offensive line stepped up with right tackle Ereck Flowers benched, allowing Manning to completed 86 percent of his passes. It was the eighth game in his career in which he completed more than 76 percent of his passes. Seven of those games were on the road.

Manning’s touchdowns went to Shepard and Rhett Ellison in the red-zone. Barkley rushed 17 times for 82 yards and a touchdown and caught five passes for 35 yards. Barkley remained the offensive centerpiece but didn’t get his first catch until the third quarter. Barkley now has over 100 total yards in all three games this season.

Saints vs Giants is going to be an offensive festival.Odell Beckham caught 9-of-10 passes for 109 yards. Beckham is tied with New Orleans’ Michael Thomas for second in the NFL with eight third-down receptions. Minnesota’s Adam Thielen is first with 10. The Giants got Beckham involved early with five of his catches coming in the first half. He wasn’t needed with the Giants protecting a lead late and added just 34 yards over the final two quarters.

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With Evan Engram dealing with a knee injury, Beckham could see his target share rise in the coming weeks. Engram, a very good young tight end, is week-to-week with a sprained knee. Engram will miss some time. Rhett Ellison caught three passes for 39 yards and a touchdown against the Texans, but he is more of a blocking option.

In Houston, the Giants scored on each of their first four offensive possessions (two touchdowns and two field goals) for the first time since Dec. 30, 2012, when they scored touchdowns on each of their first four offensive series against Philadelphia.

Team Stats

  • Average Score For: 18.33
  • Total Yards: 319.34
  • Rush Yards: 87.67
  • Passing Yards: 231.67
  • Average Score Against: 20.67
  • Total Yards: 343.33
  • Rush Yards: 111.33
  • Passing Yards: 232.00

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Saints vs Giants NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

  • Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in New York
  • Saints are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings
  • Favorite is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings
  • Home team is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings
  • Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in New York
  • New Orleans is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
  • NY Giants is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home

Expert NFL Betting Prediction for Saints vs Giants

Take the points – I think the Giants may win outright but can at worst lose by only a field goal.